Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Canada Federal Election - 2015

Bow River


Prediction Changed
2015-03-23 23:02:05
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Alexander, William MacDonald

Fromholt, Rita Ann

Khalid, Fahed

Kucy, Andrew

MacWilliam, Lynn

Shields, Martin

VandeStroet, Frans


Population/populations
(2011 census)

103871


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

3041283.39%
29758.16%
12913.54%
12443.41%
Other 5471.50%
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant


   Crowfoot
   (97/183 polls, 51.52% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Hon. Kevin Sorenson
17124
1643
604
692
Other256


   Medicine Hat
   (68/183 polls, 38.94% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
LaVar Payne
10557
968
575
450
Other144


   Macleod
   (18/183 polls, 9.54% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
John Barlow
2731
364
112
102
Other147



 


Put your political/campaign ad here! Replace it with your campaign ad! See sponsorship details.

15 09 29 A.S.
99.233.125.239
Wow, what a tinpot-Berzerkistan notional mandate for the Cons--and the second-place NDP at only 8%, and even that was more than twice as high as anyone else! Though I *might* expect that to tokenly moderate with growth in the Calgary-overspill exurbs of Chestermere and Strathmore--and I *do* mean 'tokenly'. Like, if present conditions held in 2011, it might be 'only' an 80-81% Con mandate, etc etc.
15 05 23 Bza
205.206.232.60
Was still a strong Wildrose riding in the provincial election, so it will still be a conservative hold.
15 03 25 Dr Bear
174.89.199.19
At 84%, was this the highest percentage for any party in the last election? CPC hold.
15 03 23 JW
99.232.118.35
While a selected few (very few, if any) ridings in Edmonton or even Calgary may end up being competitive at some point of the campaign, rural Alberta will continue to be solid Conservative territory. Remember, the last time rural Alberta returned a non-Conservative/PC/Reform/Alliance MP was 1968 (two that election, and one of them started with the Social Credits).



Navigate to Canada 2015 Home | Provincial Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2015
Election Prediction Project/Projet D'Élection Prévision - www.electionprediction.com
© Justice Quest Communications, 1999-2015 - Email Webmaster