Election Prediction Project

Canada Federal Election - 2011


Prediction Changed
2009-08-24 10:19:00

Constituency Profile


Carrigan, Brad

Giles, Janine

Hankel, Nicole

Menzies, Ted

Nagy, Attila

Slingerland, Marc

Ted Menzies

Previous Prediction/result

  • 2008 Prediction
  • 2006 Prediction
  • 2004 Prediction
  • 2000 Prediction
  • lethbridge (2/208 Polls)
  • macleod (164/178 Polls)
  • medicine-hat (2/204 Polls)
  • Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide


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    11 04 24 GBY
    I think it is very strange that election signs in the Macleod area are being destroyed. People need to respect the wishes and opinions of others. Certainnly the Macleod area is very Conservative, and has been for a long time. That simply cannot mean that other parties and thoughts cannot be given credence.
    11 04 19 binriso
    To put a spin on an old Donald Creighton quote: ‘Albertans vote Conservative like it is a bodily function’
    11 04 17 C.A.B.
    This riding had the second-best Conservative tally in the country last time, behind only the redoubtable Crowfoot. Ted Menzies won over 77% of the vote last time, and was 68 points over his nearest opponent. This was the worst NDP riding in Rural Alberta, though they still finished third, ahead of the Liberals. Even the second-place Greens lost their deposit. The last time a left-wing party won here was in 1930, and that drought won't be ending in 2011.
    11 03 29 M. Lunn
    I have family from this riding and while I cannot say on this forum how they vote, I can say there are very Liberals and Dippers in this riding and anyone who is usually keeps quiet about it. Tories with 75-80% here.
    09 08 24 EP
    Regardless of the ups and downs of national trends, Alberta continues to favour the Conservative Party with 60% or more. That number can only be higher once we take Edmonton into account. Unless the Wildrose Alliance starts to field federal candidates, this rural Alberta riding wills stay in the “solidly Conservative column for the foreseeable future.

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