Prediction Changed
10:38 AM 28/03/2007

Election Prediction Project

Medicine Hat
Federal Election - 2007

Constituency Profile

Botter, Bev
Dodd, Kevin
Patrick, David S.
Payne, LaVar
New Democratic
Regehr, Wally
Shock, Dean
Christian Heritage
Vandestroet, Frans

Hon. Monte Solberg

2006 Result:
Monte Solberg **
Bev Botter
Wally Regehr
Kevin Dodd

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result

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08 10 09 Daniel Kubik
I can personally attest from personal experience that Medicine Hat is just about as blue as a Tory riding can possibly get. Nonetheless the city is starting to grow a little more diverse and the retirement of Solberg may have some marginal effect on Conservative numbers. Last election Medicine Hat was fighting with ridings like Peace River and Red Deer to prove who was the most Conservative; a slight shift to the left in voting trends might indicate a larger change in the culture of the city itself.
08 09 04 Dr Bear without Prof Ape
Monte has announced he is not running again and I for one lament his departure. I too feel that he was under used in cabinet and he would have made a much better spokes person for the CPC than some of the blow hards that they do parade in front of the media. I think he is an asset that the CPC is going to regret losing. None the less, this riding is a small-city Alberta riding which will translate into a big win for the Conservatives regardless who they stick in here to run.
07 09 29 Nick J Boragina
I have not heard a peep from Solberg in cabinet. It’s a shame, I always saw him as a good MP, but it seems he’s spinning his wheels in cabinet. Regardless of that, this riding is very Conservative. Even the city of Medicine Hat elects provincial Tories, while other ‘rural’ cities like Lethbridge could swing Liberal. With that kind of electoral history here, you will see another CPC win.
07 04 09 A.S.
I'm betting against a better-than-Kevin Sorenson vote, if only because the seat's got a city of 57 thou within. Given how Alberta's going, Sorenson will only fare worse than Solberg if he's got a strong Green running against him. Seriously...
07 03 29 M. Lunn
Rural Alberta, so a safe Tory riding. Add to the fact Monte Solberg is the only Rural Alberta MP with a cabinet position, and he should win massively. In fact he may even do better than Kevin Sorenson in terms of the share of the popular vote here.
07 03 25 Ancastarian
A rural Alberta riding - guaranteed slam-dunk for the Conservatives.

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