10 04 09	Sapig 75.152.150.75
Ryan Hastman is Rahim Jaffer 2.0, and the voters of Strathcona are smart enough to recognize that. Linda will win again by a slightly larger number than last time around.
	09 11 11	R.O. 24.146.23.226
One has to wonder if Linda Duncan is trying to make herself a target by opposing or supporting things not that popular in her home province. first it was the short lived opposition coalition which was extremely unpoular in alberta and surely a vote loser there. then most recently during a free vote she was the only mp from Alberta to vote against scraping the long gun registry which was never well liked in Alberta even in the urban ridings. i think by being on the wrong side of these issues by alberta standards she is making herself an easy target for the conservatives who could easily win back this seat. and have found a good candidate in Ryan Hastman to do just that as there is alot of conservative votes in this riding. as for Rahim Jaffer now that he's no longer mp i don't see him being much of an issue here in future elections. the only way i see this seat staying ndp is if there is some kind of secret deal between the liberals not to run a serious candidate or something along that line other than that it take some sort of miracle to keep this one ndp.
	09 10 04	Dr Bear & Prof Ape 74.15.39.161
Everybody hates Jaffer, should be a title for a sitcom. Every electionprediction-go-round someone brings up how Jaffer is going to bring the Conservative party down because he's not in tune with conservative values or something to that order. But here's the kicker, he lost in '08 with MORE votes than what he won with in '04! How is that possible? We'll tell you: steady decline of Liberal votes and a steady increase in NDP votes. It seems that the left of center voters have coalesced around Ms Duncan and it isn't likely to dissipate so quickly. A new CPC candidate has to get themselves known and chip away at the left. We're not saying Linda has it in the bag, we're saying it's going to be a real CPC/NDP battle field, especially with the Liberals marginalized.
	09 09 30	CM 199.213.91.1
This riding is a Conservative riding by nature. There are more Conservative voters than NDP voters. Last election many Conservatives did not vote or protest voted as a result of Mr. Jaffer. With a new candidate that resonates with Conservatives, most of these voters will return their vote to the Conservatives. Ms. Duncan will lose votes from her base who view the attempt of a coaltion Liberal government unfavourably. Ms. Duncan will also lose votes from swing voters who also resent the coaltion. Mr. Laytons numbers are sinking in Alberta and The Prime Ministers are on a steady climb.
	09 09 26	John 74.210.6.9
This riding is usually won on a plurality, so Duncan doesn't need an Alberta style landslide to keep the seat. Further, I expect the national party will put some resources into keeping this seat. While it could be close, I expect the NDP will keep this seat.
	09 09 16	David Y. 96.30.162.230
The former Conservative M.P. here, Rahim Jaffer, has been charged with D.U.I. and drug possession. Wasn't he the one who sponsored ads late in the 2008 campaign denouncing NDP Leader Jack Layton as 'favouring the legalization of marijuana'? I wonder if the Conservative 'Get Tough On Criminals' mentality is going to include one of their own! If this doesn't give the NDP a big boost here, I'm not sure what would.
	09 09 11	nc 68.149.191.116
Linda had an amazing campaign here last election, her vote wil only go up. she will be provided with a very strong student backing!
	09 09 03	Stevo 99.251.76.167
As much as the Conservatives would dearly love to once again occupy every Alberta seat, I am inclined to think that the NDP desire - and necessity - of keeping this seat is even greater. The Liberal vote here will continue to collapse as the NDP bring more voters on board to ensure that Alberta retains at least one opposing voice from the province. Linda Duncan will almost assuredly push her margin of victory past the 1000-vote mark.
	09 09 01	Nick J Boragina 74.14.107.105
This one involves math. The NDP needs to take a certain percentage of the vote the Tories get (in this case, 19.23%) That means, as an example, if the Tories get a million votes province wide, the NDP needs 192,300 votes province wide to win this riding, assuming the parties remain strong and weak where they were in 2008. Using this mathematical formula, I see the NDP and Tories swinging back and forth in this riding, where sometimes the NDP has the votes they need and sometimes they dont. It will be very interesting to keep an eye on this as the election continues.
	09 09 01	pollwerker 69.159.189.194
The NDP are generally impossible to dislodge once they get a foothold in a riding like they have here. Duncan is unlikely to be defeated any time soon. Voters are likely to ask themselves if Alberta needs one more Tory MP.
	09 09 01	binriso 156.34.209.15
The most important seat for the NDP to keep in the whole country (except maybe Outremont) to give them a foothold in Alberta and have a stronger claim to being a national party. They’d better damn well win this one next election.
	09 08 27	wyatt 24.235.142.160
My understanding was that Harper wasn't upset with the voters, but with Jaffer. Regardless of who the Tories run here, you can bet they'll have the full backing of Tory HQ.
	09 08 27	R.O. 209.91.149.122
Furious i doubt maybe more surprised that the ndp did actually take the riding in the end as Rahim Jaffer had been a quality mp for the riding. But the collapse of the liberal vote under dion in this riding in 08 allowed for the ndp candidate Linda Duncan to win. she has now been mp for just about a year and Rahim Jaffer is not going to be running here again and conservatives nominated Ryan Hastman as there new candidate. so its a little tough to say what might happen here as its from a safe ndp or conservative seat at the moment. we also don't know what the liberals are doing here yet either as a stronger liberal candidate could create some vote spliting in the riding although with a new leader there new candidate is almost guaranteed to do a bit better than the last one but the riding remains a ndp/ conservative race but too close to call for the time being.
	09 08 26	Observer 89.180.187.185
Harper may be furious with Edmonton Strathcona electors but much more furious with Mr. Harper and the Conservatives are the voters of this riding. Edmonton-Strathcona is the most progressive riding of Alberta and the left-wing vote is united behind Linda Duncan and the NDP.
	09 08 25	wyatt 24.235.142.160
Harper was apparently furious at losing this riding, and the Tories will devote some serious dough here to get it back. The electorate will also take note at an opposition member's inability to bring investment to their riding, and will want to get back on the radar in Ottawa.
	09 08 25	NorthernRaven 130.209.74.226
The Conservatives got lazy in Alberta last time. This time after a hard fought nomination battle, Ryan Hastman will have a strong team, and the help of Conservatives from Edmonton's 7 other ridings. All he has to do is recapture the 3000 votes lost by Jaffer, which should be accomplishable. He will also benefit from the NDP-Lib Coalition backlash from the fall, which will be a theme during the election campaign.
	09 08 24	Observer 89.180.83.15
Last time, Alberta NDP spent all resources and time campaigning for Linda Duncan. Jack Layton toured the riding several times. The NDP was helped by a low profile and scandal hit MP, Rahim Jaffer. If Conservatives want the riding again, they have to choose a star candidate, otherwise it will remain NDP.
	09 08 24	Left-Pragmatist 142.94.25.93
This riding will stay NDP. It was not so much a collapse of the Liberal vote last time as that many Liberal voters saw that there was an electable alternative to the Conservatives and voted strategically. With a victory under her belt, Duncan can count on even more such votes in the next election from others who weren't quite as convinced. If there was a collapse of the Liberal vote, it was in 2006, when the NDP took second place, and gave them momentum. Barring a surprise star candidate for the Conservatives, the NDP will keep this riding.
	09 08 18	B.O. 99.247.46.156
This is an NDP riding. Duncan won by 400 votes last time. She won largely due to a collapse of the Liberal vote. The riding is too close to call for the next election. Whether Duncan can win again depends on how many Liberal votes she can keep and how many votes she can get from incumbency.