Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Canada Federal Election - 2009/10

Edmonton East


Prediction Changed
2009-08-25 16:09:29
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Incumbent:
Peter Goldring

Previous Prediction/result

  • 2008 Prediction
  • 2006 Prediction
  • 2004 Prediction
  • 2000 Prediction
  • edmonton-centre-east (165/239 Polls)
  • edmonton-north (70/191 Polls)
  • Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide


  •  


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    09 09 03 Stevo
    99.251.76.167
    I agree with binriso, for the reason that the threat to the CPC in Edmonton-East is from the NDP candidate, not the Liberal candidate as in Edmonton-Centre - and judging by the riding-by-riding Alberta results in last year's election, the non-Conservative vote is coalescing around the NDP more often than the Liberals. Remains to be seen if Iggy's leadership will change that. Edmonton-East will still go Conservative, but the NDP will continue to make inroads and may take this one in the post-Harper era (whenever that will occur).
    09 09 01 binriso
    156.34.209.15
    This seat has a better chance of being TCTC than Edmonton Centre, although its almost certain to be CPC.
    09 08 24 Observer
    89.180.83.15
    NDP achieved a very good result with former provincial Alberta NDP leader, Ray Martin. He is running again but it will be very difficult defeating a Conservative and elect a left-wing candidate. Albertans just don't like socialists.



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