Prediction Changed
3:48 PM 07/04/2007

Election Prediction Project
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Edmonton East
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
TBA

Incumbent:
Peter Goldring

2006 Result:
Peter Goldring **
25086
Nicole Martel
13088
Arlene Chapman
9243
Trey Capnerhurst
2623

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




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08 03 19 binriso
156.34.209.176
His loss in the provincial election frees up Ray Martin to run here for the NDP if they need a candidate. (I think it was this riding in 1997 and 2000 that he ran in). That?d probably give the NDP 2nd place since he is the best they can do with regards to star candidates in Alberta for the NDP(only maybe Grant Notleys ghost is better), still though 10000 votes or so behind the CPC. Heck Martin managed 17.5% vs Goldrings ~42% in 2000 which is pretty damn good for the 2000 NDP. Given other circumstances it would be winnable for the NDP with a good candidate (like they won it in 88). Notice how it is really boring to predict Albertan ridings so a side story has to be made up to show at least some interest in the relatively close ridings........
08 02 26 A.S.
99.233.96.153
Flip a coin: it's either the second most likely Alberta seat after Edmonton Centre to go Liberal, or it's the second most likely Alberta seat after Edmonton-Strathcona to go NDP. And while y'all are flipping, Peter Goldring's laughing all the way to the PM-Harper-era bank--though if Harper weren't PM, he'd be looking behind his back while laughing; and if Harper weren't CPC leader, he might find himself thinking twice about laughing...
07 10 10 Jason
129.128.168.164
This is one of the most left leaning ridings in Alberta, but it's still in Alberta. That means that a star Liberal or NDP candidate might make this one close, particularly if the Liberals have a shot at government and their candidate becomes a cabinet favourite come election day. Otherwise, the Conservatives have nothing to worry about.
07 04 02 M. Lunn
74.99.130.109
Not exactly your typical Tory riding in terms of it being urban and diverse, but lets remember this is Alberta and even areas that wouldn't go Conservative in other provinces do here, so Gouldring should win once again, albeit by a much smaller margin than most of his Alberta colleagues.



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