Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Ontario Provincial Election - 2014

Simcoe-Grey


Prediction Changed
2013-03-11 22:13:00
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Dudun, Jesseca

Kenney, Lorne

Matthews, David

Wilson, Jim

Incumbent:
Jim Wilson

Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide – Ontario (Simcoe-Grey)
  • 2011 Provincial Election Prediction
  • 2011 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2008 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2007 Provincial Election Prediction


    2011 Result:

    * JIM WILSON
    2533954.33%
    DONNA KENWELL
    1040422.31%
    DAVID MATTHEWS
    683914.66%
    MIKE SCHREINER
    40578.7%
    2007 Result:
    * JIM WILSON
    24,27050.65%
    STEVEN FISHMAN
    12,44725.97%
    PETER ELLIS
    5,42811.33%
    KATY AUSTIN
    4,4179.22%
    PHILIP BENDER
    7241.51%
    STEVEN TAYLOR
    3610.75%
    OWEN FERGUSON
    2730.57%

    2003 Result (redistributed):

    1453733.59%
    2229651.52%
    441610.20%


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    14 06 01 A.S.
    99.233.52.111
    Going back to the CSR's peak in 1999, Jim Wilson had the strongest PC result in Ontario--something that was oddly diluted by 2011 to the point where his share was short of Garf Dunlop's in Simcoe North. (Part of it being the 'moderating influence' of being closer to the GTA orbit; part of it due to S-G being Green leader Mike Schreiner's chosen riding.) But Wilson's still holding on to 50%+; no Schreiner means he'll likely do so again--hey, even w/Helena Guergis on the ballot, federal counterpart Kellie Leitch didn't go far beneath the majority threshold.
    14 05 04 monkey
    174.114.16.226
    Very safe PC riding and Jim Wilson is well liked here, so easy PC win.
    13 02 28 seasaw
    99.225.1.213
    No contest here. Jim Wilson's won big here for the past 23 years and I believe the Tories have only lost once here in ages. Don't embarrass yourselves by predicting anything else.



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