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Constituency Profile
Candidates:
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Jaswal, Harjit |  |
Kular, Kuldip |  |
Singh, Jagmeet |  |
Thornham, Pauline | Incumbent: |
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Jagmeet Singh |
Reference:
Pundits’ Guide – Ontario (Bramalea-Gore-Malton)
2011 Provincial Election Prediction
2011 Federal Election Prediction
2008 Federal Election Prediction
2007 Provincial Election Prediction
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 | 14 06 09 |
A.S. 99.231.139.81 |
Essentially, Jagmeet Singh's provincial victory finished the unfinished business of his shocking federal near-victory, as enough straggling doubters about the NDP's viability hereabouts came on-side, 'had we known', etc--and no wonder all the reelection forecasts; he's truly larger-than-life, like a Peter Kormos of 905 ethnoburbia. Plus, being unapologetically suburban and all, this is the kind of seat where Andrea-ism ought to play better than gang-of-34 handwringing. And yet, the ONDP's apparent provincewide sinkage is leaving me fearful for Singh; so I'm reluctantly withholding a prediction--yet still, I wouldn't be surprised if the two remaining ONDPers in the GTA turn out to be Tabuns and Singh. And in *that* event, Singh might well wind up a frontrunner to succeed Horwath as leader--neat, huh? |
 | 14 06 08 |
A.S. 99.233.52.111 |
For the ONDP, this was 2011's classic case of finishing unfinished Orange Crush business--clearly, a lot of voters were of a 'had we known the NDP was viable here, we'd have voted for them, too' frame of mind, and jumped at the nearest opportunity--and quite frankly, Jagmeet Singh has so overachieved, it's no wonder it's presumed by many that he'll be reelected safely. But given various signs of final-stretch air leaking out of the broader NDP machine, I'll have to reluctantly hedge--though it's still not implausible that he and Peter Tabuns could wind up the ONDP's only GTA survivors. (And, who knows--as joint frontrunners for succeeding Horwath?) |
 | 14 06 05 |
Big Jim 99.237.175.18 |
Ndp vote collapsing and PC candidate here ,as in all regions of Peel suck, so return of Dr. Kular - just dont take any rides from him |
 | 14 05 16 |
Trinity-Spadina Progressive 70.49.168.176 |
One of the most working class ridings in the 905 and home to the largest Sikh population in Ontario, Jagmeet Singh nearly took it during the 2011 orange crush and then won it pretty handily six months later in the provincial election. Singh is greatly popular in the Sikh community and now has the advantage of incumbency. |
 | 14 05 04 |
monkey 174.114.16.226 |
This has gone Liberal and PC in the past, but federally the Tories only got 34% and the 44.4% they got provincewide is probably the ceiling for the Ontario PCs as well as the PCs used to do well here when this was more white middle class vs. the large Sikh community who generally vote Liberal or NDP. Should stay NDP with Liberals in second and PCs in third. The PCs though will likely gain seats in the 905 elsewhere, but not this one. |
 | 14 05 03 |
Teddy Boragina 198.96.35.90 |
As was the case federally in Rouge River, the NDP has been able to tap into local cultural voting bases. This riding is the same. Thus there is no reason to believe that while they could win here last time, they can not do so again this time. |
 | 13 06 19 |
Arden 216.249.56.54 |
I and many others were surprised at the NDP winning last election, but I predict them holding it now pretty easily. The incumbent is popular and unseated the last incumbent, which is no easy feat. NDP should be able to hold this riding with an even larger margin than before. |
 | 13 04 02 |
KS 70.26.158.63 |
The NDP, federally and provincially, did not have many roots in this riding prior to 2011. But they fielded a candidate popular with the local community. Jagmeet Singh lost the federal vote by 600 votes, but then won provincially with a 2200 vote margin. Now as the incumbent MPP, Jagmeet Singh should be able to win this riding with a bigger margin. The NDP are polling much higher too. |
 | 13 02 15 |
LFC Ottawa 70.30.21.69 |
It was a shock to see the NDP elected here last time, but it wont be to see them re-elected. |
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