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 | 09 11 27 |
R.O. 24.146.23.226 |
| There is a good chance the ndp would of held this seat if not for the retirement of Penny Priddy but now that Dona Cadman is mp i'm not really sure where it will go. her 1000 vote margin of victory in 08 make it one of the closer races in bc and an obvious ndp target although i'm not sure if there new candidate Jasbir Sandhu would be able to do as well is Penny Priddy did here as she had a long political history in the riding at the provincial level. its also tough to say how the hst issue is going to be viewed at the federal level here and what effect it might have in any future election . one thing is obvious when looking at the numbers here is that Dona Cadman is not near as popular as her late husband was in the riding and she may need to get more known as a mp in the riding or work it as they say to build her support. |
 | 09 11 21 |
BJ 207.6.145.130 |
Cadman is now the incumbent and has strong name recognition. The 'Cadman incident' just before the last election probably had a negative and dampening effect on her vote in 2008 but that has largely blown over. The NDP has selected, by acclamation, another no-name candidate, Jasbir Sandhu, who is a 20-year party member as no one else wanted to run for the NDP against Cadman. Jasbir Sandhu also owns a small restaurant, My Village Restaurant, 1/2 hour south in the White Rock-South Surrey area. As the incumbent, I give my nod to Cadman right now. |
 | 09 10 20 |
binriso 156.34.213.226 |
| Pretty much was won because of name recognition (of her husband as well) and a surge by the CPC in BC. Honestly without the name recognition the Cadman name produces the NDP would?ve won here last time although it would?ve been close. I?d say TCTC but heavily leaning NDP. |
 | 09 10 16 |
A.S. 99.232.162.133 |
| The trouble with forecasts of a ?strong Liberal campaign? is that on grounds of recent history, the NDP has first dibs on the anti-Tory vote here by far, to the point of monkey-wrenching any Sukh Dhaliwal-esque ethnic-bloc-voting strategy the Liberals may have in mind. Indeed, it's the NDP's top BC target, fueled by the assumption that they blew it last time by mis-nominating--you'd really have to hope for an aggressive 1993 or 2000 Dipper-black-hole dynamic to see the Liberals overtake the NDP for second, let alone first... |
 | 09 10 07 |
24.207.46.228 |
| Cadman is certainly the surrey incumbent in the most risk in the next election. she has done very little and is seen by many as a novelty. expect a strong liberal campaign here buoyed by their newton-north delta MP. |
 | 09 10 05 |
Dr Bear & Prof Ape 70.30.36.105 |
| Not sure one way or the other. All depends on how the HST is perceived in BC. If it goes over badly Donna could be in some serious trouble. If it all blows over Donna will likely keep it based on name recognition alone. |
 | 09 09 27 |
David Y. 96.30.161.201 |
The NDP have nominated Jasbir Sandhu, who has a much greater profile in the community than their 2008 candidate, Rachid Arab, possessed. Donna Cadman has been practically invisible since she was elected here, and will most likely be looking for a new line of work after the next election. |
 | 09 08 28 |
DL 174.6.196.97 |
| Dona Cadman won here by a very narrow margin despite the NDP having a very weak last minute candidate. The provincial ridings that make up Surrey North each went 75% NDP in May and apparently a number of formidable candidates are lining up for the nomination. Cadman has been totally invisible as an MP and is rumoured to not like the job and to be planning to quit. This is possibly the lowest hanging fruit in the country in terms of being a Tory seat very likely to go NDP. |
 | 09 08 27 |
24.207.46.228 |
| Cadman should be able to hold this riding based on name alone. the liberals have nominated a stronger candidate this time and that will only hurt the ndp. cpc hold. |
 | 09 08 27 |
wyatt 24.235.142.160 |
| Cadman will hang on here. With the incumbent's advantage she will retain this traditional reform/alliance riding. |
 | 09 08 27 |
Observer 89.180.129.136 |
| Donna Cadman narrow election win in 2008 makes me predict a very close race in Surrey North. Too much close to call. |
 | 09 08 27 |
JJ 96.49.110.185 |
| Too close to call. Dona Cadman had the name recognition, but this riding was still a close race between the NDP and Conservatives. Expect this to be an NDP target seat. |