Election Prediction Project

Canada Federal Election - 2011

Cariboo-Prince George

Prediction Changed
2009-08-27 11:20:00

Constituency Profile


Harris, Dick

Lalli, Sangeeta

Redl, Heidi

Ronan, Jon

Thiessen, Henry

Turner, Jordan

Van Barneveld, Jon

Dick Harris

Previous Prediction/result

  • 2008 Prediction
  • 2006 Prediction
  • 2004 Prediction
  • 2000 Prediction
  • cariboo-chilcotin (117/192 Polls)
  • prince-george-bulkley-valley (115/206 Polls)
  • Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide


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    11 04 19 Scrubs
    Dick Harris is a rather uninspiring MP who hasn't been able to move from the back bench to cabinet despite his long string of electoral victories. His constituency work is on the weak side and he is rarely seen in this part of the world. Apathy is also a big factor in this constituency and although many people who care want a more effective and vocal MP, history suggests that the Conservative candidate will easily win this seat.
    11 03 30 M. Lunn
    Although not always a Conservative stronghold, it has been one since the Reform Party began in 1993. The Liberals are non-existent in the Interior while this riding has a strong populist sentiment thus the NDP of today just doesn't sell well here, at least at the federal level.
    09 09 07 A.S.
    Well, the NDP in '08 hit upon the perfect Reform-party-of-the-left/BC-populist-wingnut strategy here: nominate Bev Collins, erstwhile National Party and Canadian Action Party perennial candidate with a yen for 9/11 ?truther? logic. And well, even in a low-turnout year the NDP vote rose, the share hit 25%, and the party resumed its rightful 2nd place position. Hey, it's BC, after all. But it's still a safe Tory seat.
    09 08 26 JJ
    Conservative hold. Potentially competitive due to a decent NDP and Liberal presence here, but the CPC are just too strong in this riding.
    09 08 26 Sean P.F.
    Rural British Columbia is Conservative Country. While they have lost ground in Skeena-Bulkley Valley and BC Southern Interior, every other riding is a safe Conservative victory.

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