Prediction Changed
10:36 AM 28/03/2007

Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Edmonton-Mill Woods-Beaumont
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
TBA

Incumbent:
Mike Lake

2006 Result:
Mike Lake
27191
Amarjit Grewal
9809
Neal Gray
6749
Kate Harrington
2073
Kyle McLeod
477
Naomi Rankin
85

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




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08 02 16 A.S.
99.233.96.153
Wasn't there some catastrophe in the Liberal nomination camp here some months ago? If so, my, how the Grits have fallen since Kilgour times. Once one of only two Liberal seats remaining in Edmonton; now, well, I don't want to be cute by saying it could potentially be one of only two *Conservative* seats remaining in Edmonton. (Not because it's unlikely the Grits will do that well; but because there are better ‘last two seat’ candidates. Besides, ethnicity works to the Liberals' token favour here: it's sort of a polyglot pendant to Calgary Northeast, where the Grits got their best *Calgary* result last time.)
07 03 29 M. Lunn
74.99.130.109
This went Liberal more due to David Kilgour's personal popularity than strong Liberal support. While it may go Liberal here provincially, the Liberals provincially aren't despised in Alberta the way the federal Liberals are.
07 03 26 Jay
142.104.232.152
This seat was only competitive in the past because of David Kilgour, but from now on, it should be safely Conservative.
07 03 25 Daniel
156.34.85.213
Many people thought this riding would be a close one last time; it wasn't. It would appear that most of the Liberal support that existed in this riding was actually Kilgour support - meaning Mr. Lake should have no problem getting re-elected.



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