08 02 17	R.O. 209.91.149.26
This has been Rob Nicholsons riding for a number of years now, well off and on. With the exception of the 93-04 when Gary Pillitteri was mp. It returned to the conservatives when the liberal mp retired. Conservative mp has since then became a high profile cabinet minister in the harper conservative government. Well the riding did re-elect its provincial liberal mpp last election , but it was a much different race and liberals had an incumbent mpp which gave them an advantage that election since voter turnout was low and issues like faith based funding seemed to hurt pc’s. but federally its much different issues and liberals have had to find another new candidate to run here, which will be 3rd different one to face Rob Nicholson in as many elections. That being said it’s a cpc hold as things stand rate now.
	08 02 14	John 66.48.175.27
Nicholson is a cabinet minister, and a good one at that. Throw in the advantage incumbents have and this seat will stay Conservative.
	07 11 14	seasaw 99.225.19.235
Sure, this may look like a bellwether riding. Exept for '04 of course when Rob Nicholson won. Unless something drastic happens to CPC, chances are Lib and CPC numbers won't change much with slight advantage to CPC. That, along with the fact that this would be Nicholson's eighth campaign for the H of C, should put this one in the win column for CPC.
	07 10 24	Former Niagara Guy 216.167.247.239
Picking this riding is rather simple, but one must wait until the election period to make the call. I grew up in Niagara and have been consistently amazed at the fact that almost always, this riding goes to the party that wins the general election both provincially and federally. Wait for the national polls at the start of the actual election, and you will have your winner right there. This same formula cannot be said for anywhere else in Niagara, but in the falls it has been quite consistent.
	07 05 01	Dr Bear & Prof Ape 74.12.177.128
Amazing what a month can be in politics. Early April we were talking Conservative majority government, early May and the polls say CPC 30%, Libs 31%, NDP 15%. The last election saw CPC 36%, Libs 30%, NDP 17.5%. So the question to ask now, with Liberal numbers the same as the last election, a slight drop in the NDP and a significant drop for the CPC, where does that leave ridings like this one, where the CPC incumbent was only 6% over the liberals in the last election. We say the edge is definitely for the CPC, but this riding looks like it may be coming into play and these ‘defeated-cabinet-minister fetishists’ are starting to watch this one.
	07 04 07	A.S. 74.99.222.209
Re the ‘high profile cabinet position’, note that Mulroney's Attorney-General going into the 1988 election, James Kelleher, lost his Sault Ste Marie seat--of course, the idea of a Tory elected in SSM would seem bizarre today; but all things considered, Niagara Falls is one of the softer Ontario CPC seats out there now, even with Fort Erie added on. And it was less than a 2-point swing t/w Rob Nicholson in '06 over '04 (admittedly, he was now running against the Lord Mayor of NOTL). Too urban; too industrial; too 20%+ NDP; Judy La Marsh was here. ‘Softness’, though, is relative under the present circumstance. If Dion holds Harper to a draw and gains ground beyond Toronto, though, this should be one for defeated-cabinet-minister fetishists to watch.
	07 04 02	M. Lunn 74.99.130.109
With Rob Nicholson now holding a high profile cabinet position, I would be very surprised if he loses his seat. The Tories would have to do quite poorly nationally to lose this. Even if they lose the next election, I still think he will be re-elected. Lets remember, last time around his profile was much lower and never mind areas like Niagara on the Lake and Fort Erie go Conservative naturally anyways, Niagara Falls is the only real battleground in this riding.
	07 04 01	Informed voter 69.156.179.227
Weakest Liberal candidate in recent memory vs. Federal Conservative cabinet minster... hmmm... Nicholson will be handily re-elected and the Liberals will sink to new lows in Niagara Falls.