08 03 22	I'm Always Right 24.150.237.186
Jim Flaherty put the final nail in the coffin for Mississauga Conservative hopes when he announced the federal government was pumping cash into Go Train service in of all places, Peterborough! Mississauga is commuter country and it was a clear slap in the face to voters there for the federal government to spend transportation dollars in a small town like Peterborough while ignoring the problems peel region faces. So forget about Paul Szabo being in any trouble. Look for a picture of Flaherty and a Go Train in Peterborough on Liberal literature in Mississauga.
	08 03 13	Doug The Slug 192.30.202.21
No surprise seesaw is hoping for a Conservative victory in Mississauga South and the Bear/Ape guy is sitting on the fence. Here's the scoop on Mississauga South. Mississauga and Brampton have voted as a block in the last 5 federal and last 4 provincial elections. Why? Because they are all very uniformed. There's no difference between any of them. Since Szabo has done nothing to stand out and make people in this riding break this pattern, then it makes no sense at all that the Conservatives will win here. Let's not forget that the Harper government has done nothing in reach out to suburban ridings like the ones in Mississauga. It also doesn't help Harper to have a finance minister who tells investors to keep their money out of Ontario. That doesn't go down well with the Bay Street crowd who live in this riding. Brampton and Mississauga will be a sea of Liberal red again.
	08 03 10	Peg Leg Pete 99.234.197.75
No surprise that seesaw is picking the Conservatives in Mississauga South. Seesaw doesn't understand that the Liberals are stronger in Peel region than they are in any other part of the province. Stephen Harper's right wing message doesn't play in this urban area and the NDP don't exist here. That means there's no split on the left and the Liberals will sweep this region once again. As usual, Bear and Ape don't want to make a call. No surprise there either. I predict Szabo wins by 5000 votes this time.
	08 01 30	Dr Bear & Prof Ape 76.64.122.141
Seasaw has made a series of recent posts about 905 ridings falling to the CPC, including comments about the possibility of a Peel sweep for Harper. Though we don't buy into many of his agruments, this is one where we'd be almost compelled to agree with him. Why ‘almost compelled to agree’? Because the one nagging fact, the CPC isn't hitting the high notes in the polls (29% in the most recent Harris-Decima poll, vs 36% last election). That doesn't bode well for gaining new seats. Despite this, based on the comments we made back in March and the comments seasaw added about Dion and the GST, this one will be close at the very least.
	Date 07	seasaw 99.225.19.235
This is a must win riding for the CPC, if they wish to form a majority. Though not a bad MP, Mr Szabo's name's come up nationally in a negative way, which may hurt his chances here. Also, if Dion campaigns on hiking the GST and Szabo runs on Dion's platform, it could further tarnish his chances. Remember, Szabo was one of the staunchest opponents of the GST, he even brought forth alternatives, even when it was evident that nothing was going to be done about it. For him to run on this part of Dion's platform, would definitely hurt his credibility.
	07 10 22	binriso 156.34.214.28
Peterson got killed in the provincial election by the Liberals and it wasn’t even close. Although that does not really matter here federally, that has to be a somewhat bad sign for the CPC. Not to mention some growth in the Mississauga area which favors the Liberals. Im going to say a Liberal hold, but it’ll be a bit closer than last time. I have to think the Liberals will fight hard to hold onto these close ridings especially in the 905. Although the way things are going it could go down hill pretty fast.
	07 07 31	A.S. 74.99.222.209
I noted re '04 that thanks a bit to the ex-PC schism and ‘Martin Tory’ phenomenon, the Miss South Liberals actually did worse in a lot of poor/middle left-leaning than affluent right-leaning areas--well, with the clear and increasingly unscary prospect of PM Harper in '06, it was the affluent Martin Tories' time to make the most marked swing away from the Grits! So, Lorne Park became Blue again, and after years of determined, well-reasoned, yet futile targeting, CPC finally turned Paul Szabo's seat into the marginal it presumably should have been all along. And as for my other earlier note re provincial prospects, well, Tim Peterson's thrown that whole thing inside out. But while Szabo's no prize for all his time in office, given the continued maturing/diversifying nature of the inner 905 I still see his defeat far from a foregone conclusion, whatever the provincial representation--it could just as well be a little more tightening, a little more feeling of Conservative thwartedness. Yeah, I know, darn it.
	07 04 02	Angry Ontarian 24.36.172.204
Controversy erupted this week. The Liberal MPP, Tim Peterson (former Grit Premier David Peterson's brother) bid the Liberals au revior to run for John Tory. That means no provincial organization to help Paul Szabo this time. And its affluent WASP 905 ridings like this and Oakville that should be among the first to go Conservative. Afterall, Grits took this by only 2,500 votes.
	07 03 22	Dr Bear & Prof Ape 74.15.40.135
This was the closest Mississauga race in 2006 and with ridings like this being the primary target of the CPC, it's too early to call. This riding has an air to in not unlike Oakville or Burlington and the current CPC government would appeal to many here. Is Szabo's incumbency factor strong enough to ward off the CPC offensive? We're leaning to 'no' but the election is still a-ways off. Time will tell...