15 09 27	A.S. 99.233.125.239
Actually, Provencher's more interesting than it looks--it may be heavily Mennonite, *but* it's also heavily Metis; which is a reason why David Iftody won for the Liberals in both 1993 and 1997--a Ste. Anne vs Steinbach duel, so to speak. But with the reunited-right and the post-Chretien faltering of the Liberals, even the Metis by and large fell in with the blue side of the spectrum: if you can't beat'em, join'em. (Still, interesting to presently monitor any 'Justin-in-Manitoba' bubble effect.)
	15 08 21	Interested Observer 64.56.142.209
NDP have at least nominated a candidate now. Not that it's likely to matter much. http://www.steinbachonline.com/local/leslie-lilley-excited-to-be-provencher-ndp-candidate
	15 08 14	NDP Partisan 216.211.121.232
NDP campaign struggling to get off the ground, and they are the only ones who can provide a substantial challenge to the CPC in this riding. Maybe things will change as election season kicks up, but as is this is a probable conservative bet.
	15 08 13	R.O. 24.146.23.226
This riding was actually closer in the 2013 by election than general elections although conservatives still won fairly easily. So Ted Falk has been mp for a little while since Vic Toews left politics. Conservatives should be able to hold this riding but unclear who will come second.
	15 04 26	Docere 50.101.245.47
According to the Vote Compass, heavily Mennonite Provencher is far and away the most socially conservative riding in Canada. No contest here.
	15 03 26	Locksley 24.77.219.142
Ted Falk is probably a candidate for worst MP in Ottawa. Doesn't mean he won't win though.
	15 03 25	JC 69.165.234.184
This along with Portage-Lisgar are the safest Tory seats in Manitoba.
	15 03 24	Philly D. 198.168.27.218
Unthinkable that this riding would go anything other than CPC with its strong evangelical population.
	15 03 24	Dr. Bear 204.187.20.75
Another boring rural race, with the CPC easily winning.