11 04 03	C.A.B. 76.70.89.95
This is obviously one of those legacy seats for the NDP - they haven't actually won here since 1980. That's right - they fell short even in their banner year of 1988. If the Ed Schreyer run in 2006 didn't prove that today's NDP can't win here anymore, the results last time certainly did. James Bezan won with an impressive 60% of the vote in 2008, with a whopping 36-point margin over the NDP. As for the Liberals, who were able to come up the middle in 1993, they lost their deposit. This doesn't look like anything other than a Tory hold for the foreseeable future.
	11 03 29	M. Lunn 174.116.190.108
Although the NDP has its pockets of support, the Conservatives/Alliance have won by double digits in every election since 2000 and in 1997 the Reform + PC got roughly the same as the Liberals + NDP, however the former two have merged while the latter two have not. Either way, the Tories should get at least 45% and probably over 50% and maybe even as high as 2/3.
	09 08 26	Observer 89.180.187.185
When a former MP, Premier, and Governor General cannot defeat a mere incumbent MP, as it happened in 2006, it means there is any contest here. Conservative landslide victory.
	09 08 25	Sean P.F. 99.246.13.208
Southern, Rural Manitoba is Conservative country. Expect an easy victory for the Tories come election day.