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Ontario Provincial Election - 2014

Mississauga East-Cooksville


Prediction Changed
2013-04-14 20:49:00
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Catena, Dolly

Churchin, Zoran

Damerla, Dipika

Iwanusiw, Levko

Karim, Fayaz

Nguyen, Linh

Incumbent:
Dipika Damerla

Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide – Ontario (Mississauga East-Cooksville)
  • 2011 Provincial Election Prediction
  • 2011 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2008 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2007 Provincial Election Prediction


    2011 Result:

    DIPIKA DAMERLA
    1553545.74%
    ZORAN CHURCHIN
    1129733.26%
    WASEEM AHMED
    570416.79%
    LLOYD JONES
    9342.75%
    WINSTON HARDING
    1990.59%
    JONATHON DURY
    1770.52%
    SHRIYA SHAH
    1170.34%
    2007 Result:
    * PETER FONSECA
    22,24958.93%
    ZORAN CHURCHIN
    8,71523.08%
    SATISH BALASUNDERAM
    3,1928.46%
    CARLA CASANOVA
    2,3616.25%
    AL ZAWADZKI
    9922.63%
    RYAN JAMIESON
    2430.64%

    2003 Result (redistributed):

    1548848.69%
    1209738.03%
    269308.46%


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    14 06 07 A.S.
    99.233.52.111
    Peter Fonseca absolutely walloped Zoran Churchin in 2007; but a messy Grit nomination struggle (in which Fonseca's sister lost), and *maybe* with the gas-plant issue lingering at the edges, led a comparatively lukewarm Damerla victory over Churchin in 2011. But for now, incumbency plus Hazel-induced autopilot suggests an easier go for the Grits--gas plant or no gas plant. (Scandal? What scandal?)
    14 05 18 LB
    174.138.198.64
    This is a safe liberal seat. McCallion's endorsement will have a substantial impact in the riding as well. Damerla will win handily - I can't see this one swinging any other way.
    14 05 16 Art
    174.95.58.142
    Peel is the swing zone. PC voters are revving up to vote and Liberal voters are more likely to not vote. Once the debates pound home the billions of dollars in scandals and wastes, expect the PC revving to get much louder out here. Besides if you can't stomach PC, Gore Malton swung NDP in disgust. (Surprise!) Who needs the Liberals; NDP are the news Liberals. PC with ties to voter's pulse likely to get some traction here.
    14 05 12 SW
    184.145.33.120
    Mississauga East Cooksville being one of the original bedroom communities of Toronto since the early nineteen-fifties has large Northern and Eastern European communities, some of them now second and even third generation Canadians. There is also a larger more recent influx from Eastern Europe since the fall of the Soviet Union. These groups are hard working, ambitious, self sufficient and hold traditional moral values. They; including many of my own friends and relatives in the area, are generally not interested in hot button topics and financial mismanagement such as the power plants and ORNGE and OLG; they care more about a persons' moral character than they do about sharing indignation over some monetary outrage.
    This Riding, like many others, tend to lump all levels of all Political Parties together without distinguishing Provincial from Federal; and, with Justin Trudeau recently declaring all Liberals must be pro-choice and pro gay marriage, it does not bode well for the Liberal Candidate. It is interesting to note; in the last Federal Election, the Liberal Candidate Peter Fonseca who was previously the Liberal MPP in the same Riding, was seeking to replace the retiring Liberal pro life Albina Guarnieri; Peter who was/is well liked (but would not to respond to the question of whether he was pro-choice or pro-life) was narrowly defeated by a previously unknown Conservative Candidate who is pro life and of Eastern European origin.
    14 05 08 Big Jim
    99.237.175.18
    Unless Hudak pulls off a miracle and gets over 42%, which I don't think is likely,this riding stays Liberal. The PC candidate Churchin has a reputation within his own party as lazy. Since he wont work based on previous election then as in baseball, its 3 strikes and you are out Zoran! Thank god, the PCs have fielded nothing but dud candidates in peel.
    14 05 06 Ex-Londoner
    132.156.103.22
    This one is too close to call. It all depends on the attention kept on the gas plant scandal. Liberals could lose it, or could keep it, but will not have an easy time.
    14 05 04 monkey
    174.114.16.226
    Liberal support has usually been about 10% above whatever their province wide support is so unless they fall under 30%, they should be fine here.
    13 04 10 seasaw
    99.225.1.213
    the PC candidate is Zoran Churchin again, we have to see what impact the gas plant cancellation will have in this riding
    13 04 10
    70.30.132.201
    The incumbent won convincingly a year and a half ago, and is now facing the same Conservative opponent. Province-wide polls haven't moved drastically enough to suggest a change. Unless Mississauga catches Hudak-mania - which is, so far, yet to catch on anywhere outside of Hudak's house - this will be an easy Liberal hold.



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