Election Prediction Project
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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2011

Esquimalt-Royal Roads


Prediction Changed
2013-05-15 00:04:58
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Karagianis, Maurine

Low, Susan Christina

Ricketts, Chris

Steffler, Joshua

Incumbent:
Maurine Karagianis

Reference:

  • Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election
  • Pundits’ Guide - 2008 Prepresentation Order


    2009 Result:


    Maurine Karagianis*
    1151452.92%
    Carl Edward Ratsoy
    657930.24%
    Jane Sterk
    3,66416.84%


  •  


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    13 04 20 GV
    206.47.117.43
    The Greens are certainly a factor here, but not to the same extent as Oak Bay. Their candidate is quite accomplished and should make a decent showing, but ultimately I don't see the party pumping in the resources required to take this seat away from Karagianis. Should be an intriguing battle for second.
    13 03 27 Laurence Putnam
    50.98.247.34
    Easy call for the NDP - margin of victory will probably be middle-of-the-pack compared to other Island-area ridings, but no question E-RR will be orange on election night.
    13 03 08 NO PARTISAN BS
    99.253.117.108
    The NDP will sweep the Island and the only issues to be decided are the margin of victory and how much the Green vote will grow.
    13 02 18 Devon
    174.6.18.113
    Maurine Karagianis will once again win this riding for the BCNDP and will probably have a spot in Adrian Dix's cabinet.



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