6:46 PM 09/01/2006

Prediction Changed
12:56 AM 04/05/2005
Election Prediction Project

Federal Election - 2006

Constituency Profile

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Larry Ashmore
Bernie Kennedy
Ted Menzies
Joyce Thomas
Canadian Action
Catherine Whelan Costen
Myron Wolf Child

Ted Menzies

2004 Result:
Ted Menzies
Chris Shade
Laurel Denise Fadeeff
Joyce Thomas

For historical result, please see
2004 Prediction page

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09 01 06 Sean
This riding will go solidly Conservative just as it has for the past 40 years. The results in this riding may be interesting. I predict some minor gains in Conservative support, likely in the 75-80% range. The Liberals will see a drop in their support. Last year the Liberal candidate Chris Shade had huge support in the reserve polls, he won these near unanamously. I predict this year much of the reserve vote will be split between the Liberal candidate and independant Myron Wolf Child, the only First Nations candidate in this riding. NDP support will likely remain the same. I predict a slight increase in Green support because of the protest and ecological vote in this riding especially in the Turner Valley/Black Diamond area where there is concern about water contamination. My prediction Con: 77% Lib: 8% Grn: 6% NDP: 6% Ind:3% CAP:>1%
11 07 05 Nick Boragina
Grant Hill's old riding. This is your run-of-the-mill rural Alberta riding. There really are no over-riding issues that would push this one way or the other, that would deviate it from the rural Alberta norm. The candidate here is still relatively new, and therefore not too well known. As a troy, he can expect to be re-elected though.
02 05 05 Miles Lunn
One of my Gvrandpa's is from this riding, and this is hardcore conservative territory. Although as a Vancouverite I am pretty conservative, when I visit High River, my views make me look like a leftist. That means this will be an easy Conservative win, possibly over 80%.

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