09 10 10	Gone Fishing 64.231.145.238
Somewhere along the line the Liberals (both the card carrying type and the punditry) have to start looking at some seats in Quebec as being vulnerable as the implosion continues at the top of the Liberal Party of Toronto. this is a riding where the previous Liberal MP fought tooth and nail to win 2004 and lose a close one in 2006. However, with baby Trudeau here this riding isn't one they have to worry about for a long long long long long time. Contrary to Paul Tremblay who suggests the Trudeau name meant nothing, the threee point swing took the riding back into Liberal hands and with most of the province and yes even Quebec cooling to the Dion led Liberals I suggest the name must have had some clout. The name Trudeau on this riding gives the Liberals HOPE because the entire party reveres the elder Trudeau as God. Losing this riding would be as disastrous to the future of the Liberal party as Iggy losing Etobicoke Lakeshore. They could take a Kim Campbell like beating and they would have HOPE if Trudeau won Papineau. If not it would be like cutting off the head of the liberal turkey - it would be FINAL. When Jacques Parizeau teams with Gilles Duceppe to carry a red and white flag with a maple leaf on it in the Baptiste parades other candidates have a chance but until then it's Justie's to win as long as there is a Liberal party.
	09 09 03	Marco Ricci 72.138.2.68
If Justin Trudeau was able to win this riding last year against an incumbent BQ MP and do it when the Liberals were low in the polls in Quebec, he should be able to win it again this time now that there is no BQ incumbent and since the Liberals are higher in the polls in Quebec under Ignatieff. The BQ do not seem to have nominated a candidate here yet - perhaps they are not making this riding a priority this time?
	09 09 01	Paul Tremblay 67.159.44.51
Here are a few facts proving that the Trudeau name did not help the Liberal Party in any way in Papineau. The Liberals won 23.7 percent of the vote in Quebec in 2008 compared to 20.7 percent of the vote in 2006. The Liberals won 41.5 percent of the vote in Papineau in 2008 compared to 38.5 percent of the vote in 2006. In both cases there is a three-point increase. Conclusion : Trudeau's candidacy and name did not change a single vote in Papineau in 2008. The Liberal Party will keep this seat but only because they will win more votes generally in Quebec this year.
	09 08 27	Observer 89.180.129.136
Trudeau is so a strong name in Canada that this name is more important than the personality or the candidate program for the riding. Liberal landslide.
	09 08 27	JF Breton 207.134.225.57
Je risque tout de suite une prédiction. Si Barbot n'a pas pu déloger Trudeau, je vois mal qui pourrait le faire. Ce sera serré, tout dépendra du candidat contre Trudeau, mais la machine libérale aura l'avantage d'être rodée et de faire sortir le vote.
	09 08 27	Don't Tase Me, Bro! 38.112.12.110
Justin's been on a pretty low profile since getting elected. I saw him give a good speech once at the Toronto Economic Board of Trade, but that doesn't say anything about his reelection chances. Still, the Trudeau name did carry him through in 2008, as he was only 2 of Quebec Liberals that defeated incumbent Bloc MPs. I'm inclined to give Trudeau the edge in this one.