08 03 25	King of Kensington 70.52.185.86
Keith Martin may have his personal popularity going for him, but the byelection in the ‘safe Liberal riding’ of Quadra suggests that the Dion Liberals are in trouble in BC. A slight drop in Liberal support here could very well mean a pickup for the NDP.
	08 02 10	A.S. 99.233.96.153
He may carry the Liberal label now, but Keith Martin remains a classic 1993-style libertarian Reformer at heart (as his recent principled challenge of human rights legislation proves)--indeed, his party shift might have paved the way for other ex-Reform zones like North and West Van to shift similarly in '04 and '06. The only reason Martin's last couple of mandates and margins have been tepid is that were it not for him, it's the kind of seat where Liberals would be a solid third--and it's hard to see how things can be any less tepid for him now. Yet weirdly enough it might not have been much less tepid had he stuck to the Tories. After all, had Keith Martin retired in '04, we might, surprisingly easily, here in Moe Sihota country, be looking at a 2-term NDP seat now
	07 12 22	Left Coast 64.59.144.85
‘Liberal Maverick’ seems to be a contradiction in terms but we now have 2 in parliament (Keith Martin and Garth Turner). Martin wins here largely on personal popularity but I wouldn't say his re-election is a foregone conclusion, though he does have the edge. The NDP does have a strong base here and they came close last time - if Dion fares poorly in BC as leader they could take this.
	07 11 06	tducey 24.138.130.38
Another riding that is to close to call, for now. Keith Martin has won 2 elections since becoming a Liberal but he remains popular. Still with the CPC candidate here running again as he did in 2006 I think he may make things interesting, could be a riding to watch on election night.
	07 07 11	binriso 156.34.209.220
Well Keith keeps winning against all the odds. Conservatives are relatively weak in this riding compared to others and it looks like quite a bit of the Alliance/Reform vote was due to Keith's popularity. NDP would need some strong candidate, Dave Barrett-esque name recognition or something. But wait, Keith beat him in 93! Keith might not win by much but it seems he has a solid support base that keeps him in Ottawa. Look for a 6th win in a row and a LPC hold.
	07 05 07	Islander 143.161.248.25
If Keith Martin wasn't safe before the NDP nominated Burgis, he is now. Instead of running the same twice-failed candidate, the NDP is running another twice-failed candidate from the neighbouring riding. Burgis may be a reasonably strong candidate, but she was no stronger than Garrison, and she now has to start from scratch in terms of name recognition, with the added disadvantage of lacking credibility for switching ridings.
	07 05 03	Tom 130.64.130.18
The NDP candidate will be Jennifer Burgis, who ran in Saanich-Gulf Islands last time. She's a good candidate, and I think she'll do well. I don't think Martin is completely safe, but he's probably favored. (Randall Garrison will actually be running again, but in Vancouver Centre.)
	07 04 25	Islander 143.161.248.25
Through thick or thin, as a Reformer, Alliance, or a Liberl, Keith Martin has won this riding. Even if the Conservatives win a Majority, they aren't the primary threat in the riding. Randall Garrison was a bright and articulate candidate but has lost twice now, which makes another run unlikely. The NDP will have to find a very strong candidate and would have to improve their support at the national level to pose a threat. Although the 2004 election was a disaster, the Conservatives ran a strong candidate last election as well, but still came in third place, despite winning the federal election. They have a lot of ground to pick up I don't see the cards playing out such that Keith Martin is unseated. His Liberal support is from die-hard Liberals, and the rest is support for him personally. It might be possible for the Conservatives to beat the NDP this time, but not to win. Another close race, but another Keith Martin hold.
	07 04 14	Nick J Boragina 74.99.228.118
When making a prediction, the candidate counts, and the polls count. Both are saying this will be Liberal. Martin is popular here, and has proven he can win this riding as a Liberal, twise. On the poll side, his main opponent is the NDP, who's polling numbers in BC are down, not up from the last election. Unless the tories can knock him off (doubtful, as if there is a threat, greens and dippers will rush to save him) he will stay where he is.
	07 04 07	74.108.19.47
Keith Martin has won this riding since 1993. He has won this riding running for different parties. All the times he has managed to win, this just shows his popularity, in 2006 he was the lone liberal on Vancouver Island, look for him to be re-elected this time as well, with the NDP numbers down, Martin will definitely be re-elected. Liberal Hold
	07 04 06	M. Lunn 24.80.152.58
Prior to Keith Martin's win in 2004, this hadn't gone Liberal since 1968, so this is not a strong Liberal riding. Rather it is a Keith Martin riding as Keith Martin is quite popular here and the fact that he more or less stuck to his positions he has held since 1993 despite switching parties bodes well for him. The only real question is the NDP who are usually quite strong here and did have a close second last election, so they could potentially pull this off. While this riding has a large military base, which should be good for the Tories on the surface, it is still very much a working class riding and seems to generally resent right wing politics. The Reform Party only won in 1993 when most NDP ridings flipped to the Reform Party as a protest vote and then Keith Martin had enough popularity to win this on his own merit. Had Keith Martin stayed with the Conservatives they probably would win this, but as soon as he left them, that pretty much ended their ability to win here.