Prediction Changed
10:31 AM 02/04/2007

Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Edmonton-Sherwood Park
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
TBA

Incumbent:
Ken Epp

2006 Result:
Ken Epp **
34740
Ron Symic
7801
Laurie Lang
7773
Lynn T. Lau
3992

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




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08 02 26 A.S.
99.233.96.153
Well, that's how urban Alberta's evolved over the fifteen years since the Reform revolution: classic class-of-93 Reformer Ken Epp shocks those remaining circa-1983 redneck Legionaires by passing his baton on to a dude with a turban--and, really, Sherwood Park?!? By GTA standards, that's getting more into Halton than Peel territory--though in all honesty, we are dealing with a seat that now contains a significant part of Edmonton proper. One wonders with this Saskatchewanesque new wave of urban/satellite/rural-hybrid Edmonton ridings whether things might have gotten more competitive had Edmonton seats remained strictly circumscribed within Edmonton...
07 09 30 John
66.48.175.88
You have to remember who Uppal came within a hair of beating. Kilgour was a very popular MP who could take the riding regardless of what party he ran for.
If Uppal can do the same kind of work in Edmonton Sherwood Park, the riding will stay Conservative.
07 09 24 Nick J Boragina
74.14.23.192
Let’s do some simple math here regarding Uppal’s parachute. Lets assume the Greens and NDP happen to nominate the same guy the Liberals do. Let’s also round up from the last election and put this candidate at 20,000 votes. The CPC won 34,000 (rounding down) lats election here. That would mean more then 7,000 people would have to be so upset at the parachute that they vote for the opposition just to get the *combined* vote strong enough to beat the CPC. Once you realize the Greens and NDP are not nominating the same person the Liberals are, you start to see how improbable it is that the Tories will lose.
07 04 01 Rey D.R.
130.15.234.201
Tim Uppal will finally get his much sought after seat in parliament here. Twice defeated by David Kilgour in Edmonton Southeast and then once defeated by Mike Lake in a nomination meeting. Uppal has been parachuted into Edmonton-Sherwood Park. That fact might cost him a handful of votes, if any, and the election is mere coronation for the man who will soon be King of Edmonton Sherwood Park. Easy Conservative win.
07 03 28 Senator
206.75.27.127
The Conservative Candidate is Tim Uppal, the guy who came 134 votes short of beating David Kilgour in 2004. He shouldn't have any trouble winning here. Even if he isn't from the riding, the Conservative lable is all that matters. The only interesting thing might be which of the other parties comes a distant second.



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