Prediction Changed
11:16 AM 02/04/2007

Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Nepean-Carleton
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
TBA

Incumbent:
Pierre Poilievre

2006 Result:
Pierre Poilievre **
39512
Michael Gaffney
20111
Laurel Gibbons
8274
Lori Gadzala
3976

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




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08 02 24 Bob
99.241.76.197
Pierre cannot be beaten. He will win by a little less than last time, but without a challenge. Pierre is very visible and works hard to take credit for successes (doubling Limebank Road) and adept at blaming others for failures (cancelling light rail and brige to Barhaven). Pierre will become for Conservatives in Ottawa what Mauril Belanger has become for Ottawa Liberals, not even an electoral tsunami would dislodge then from their fiefdoms.
07 07 30 A.S.
74.99.222.209
Po-liver lives. If this seat were in the GTA, it might still be Liberal or only marginally Tory; but given the ?progressive-CPC? (as opposed to Progressive Conservative) way this stretch of suburban Ottawa has electorally evolved over the past decade, you might as well call the seat Nepean-Leduc or Nepean-Spruce Grove at this point...
07 04 03 Brian Appel
64.230.120.149
This is my mom's riding and I spend some time here when I'm visiting her. It's solidly right-wing, with a bit of rural, a bit of wealth and a bit of Catholics. The MP?ll get re-elected easily.
07 03 29 M. Lunn
74.99.130.109
Pierre Poilievre is a complete showboat and a pain in the neck, but this is one of the safest conservative ridings in the province. This has consistently election after election been amongst their five best showings at both the provincial and federal level. A complete meltdown would be needed for this to go Liberal. Never mind their last Liberal MP David Pratt was on the right of the party.



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