08 05 06	seasaw 99.225.19.235
This one should be extremely interesting. Patrick Boyer won it back to back in '84 and '88. He lost in '93, at that time there was a strong Reform candidate, and Boyers lost a fairly tight race to Jean Augustine. This time Boyers doesn't have Reform to worry about but his Liberal opponent is a very high profile Liberal. Ignatieff and Boyers are both brilliant academics, one has spent his entire career working in Canada, the other has spent all of his adult life outside Canada, mostly in the US. We'll see who the people'll chose.
	08 03 25	The Jackal 69.158.8.44
If anyone but Ignatieff was the MP here I would say Boyer has a very good shot at pulling off an upset. But with Ignatieff likely to lead the LPC if and when Dion is turfed he will win by 3000-4000 votes.
	08 03 25	Don't Tase Me, Bro! 99.230.121.239
If the best that the CPC could put up against Iggy is a has-been former MP like Patrick Boyer, who was last in politics in 1993 and got his can handed to him by Jean Augustine, then this riding will stay Liberal even if the party goes into free fall during the next campaign.
	08 03 03	24.81.18.126
Deputy LOFO, Michael Ignatieff will win this one. He is high profile, and considered a likely successor to the Liberal throne if Dion falters next election. His incumbency has likely sealed the deal. However, the CPC has matched Ignatieff's high profile with a tough challenger in Patrick Boyer, a former MP for 9 years and former parliamentary secretary. In the event of a CPC majority, this one will be a see-saw race and will be close.
	08 01 21	Jake Stromberg 74.210.84.50
The Conservatives may be running a fairly good candidate but Michael Ignatieff has been able to establish himself as a well respected parliamentarian in relatively little time. He may have had a rocky start breaking into Canada's political scene, but his efforts to clean up his Canadian image and clarify his position on the war in Iraq have largely been successful. Furthermore, despite a bitter leadership battle he has adapted well to the deputy leader position. Many Liberal and Conservatives who doubted his abilities and/or patriotism in the past have recently been seeing him in a more positive light. Like him or not, he's here to stay.
	08 01 15	King of Kensington 70.52.184.32
As much as I personally dislike Iggy, he will have no problem being re-elected. Patrick Boyer may be a somewhat high profile but the last time he won an election in the riding was 20 years ago, when the Conservatives were still competitive in the 416 area code.
	07 12 25	binriso 156.34.226.67
Conservatives have a pretty good candidate here with ex-MP Patrick Boyer, but Ignatieff is too high profile and more importantly in this race on the right wing of the Liberal party. That’ll be very important in a riding where the NDP will be trying to fight for its deposit, since although they have traditionally done well here, their highest vote total since 1988 was 15.6%. Might be as close as last time but it wont be getting any closer than that and likely Ignatieff adds a couple more thousand votes to his margin.
	07 09 28	Stevo 76.64.67.179
I was very surprised in 2006 by how close Capobianco came, but now that Iggy is elected and high-profile, his margin of victory in the next election should easily be somewhere north of 10,000 votes over the Conservative candidate. As an aside, note this astonishing fact: out of the 8 Liberal leadership contenders, 6 of them are now running in ridings in Toronto-proper (416 area code). Not just the *GTA*, but actually Toronto-proper. And those 6 Toronto candidates were all beaten by a soft-spoken academic from Montreal. Those Montrealers have got to feel smug about that!
	07 09 18	Nick J Boragina 74.13.125.185
I’m going to agree with both those who say Iggy is far from safe, and those who say the Liberals will win. Remember, personal candidacy only goes so far. We have seen high profile people, and Prime Ministers in fact, be knocked off in their own riding because more people voted for another party, then voted for their local candidate. Iggy can easily lose if the Tories start pushing on Majority territory. His being very popular wont save him in a blue tide that sweeps the country. Despite that, for now, the Tories are far from a majority, and therefore this riding is still safe for the Liberals.
	07 04 26	Daniel 156.34.64.82
Though I'm pretty sure Ignatieff can win this riding, I'm not ready to declare it 'in the bag' just yet. Ignatieff, despite being a star candidate, only managed to attain one of the weakest Liberal wins in the 416 (and the weakest outside the more NDP-ish city centre). This is also one of the most (if not the most) right-leaning riding in T.O.; Of course, Iggy's newfound high-profile will probably give him a more comfortable margin of victory this time around, but any significant upswing in Tory or NDP support could make him vulnerable.
	07 04 08	free_thinker 208.101.105.184
Iggy is not as safe as people assume. Watch out for a big challenge from the CPC here, Iggy will have to stay close to home and if that is the only objective of the CPC then it will succeed.
	07 04 06	A.S. 74.99.222.209
Having survived his trial by fire, Iggy ought to be breathing easier, unless the self-exile of local riding association types proves to be a permanent condition. Keep in mind that the ?natural? CPCness of Etobicoke-Lakeshore is a bit of an illusion sustained through Capobianco's candidacies; in fact, Etobicoke Centre is the truer conservative-bedrock sort of place, so even if it's become ingrained habit, watch it with staking too much arbitrary Tory-breakthrough hope in E-L, unless somebody atypical like Patrick Boyer runs...
	07 03 28	SaganDLS-NDP 142.150.5.220
Ignatieff will carry this riding handily. During the candidates meeting prior to the last election despite the protestors in orange jumpsuits whose presence was in response to Iggy's support of torture and the Iraq war. However Capobianco's past relations with the PCs during the Common-sense revolution was also a bone of contention with the audience. All in all, this is a very strong Grit riding at least as of 1993 and it will go red once again. However like before I seriously believe Iggy and the Grits will remain in opposition.
	07 03 25	Steve V. 69.49.43.86
This still is the CPC's best chance in Toronto. The Liberal nomination drama last time probably left its mark, but the Conservatives made gains here that were largely in line with a trend stretching from Burlington right through to this riding. Compare Liberal results in all of the ridings along the lakeshore from Burlington to this one. 7,000-10,000 vote wins collapsed to defeat (Burlington, Halton) or something not far from it (Oakville, Mississauga South). The CPC had a big jump here, as it did in Etobicoke Centre and in the aforementioned nearby ridings. That was with the Liberals still carrying the province 39% to the CPC's 35%. Now the polls show, variously, ties or sometimes big CPC leads. If the Tories are opening up a province-wide lead, I'm not sure Ignatieff is going to be special enough to hang on. The CPC may be nominating ex-MP Patrick Boyer here, which should only serve to make Ignatieff's life more difficult. If the CPC really is picking up in Ontario after the budget, I don't think Ignatieff is all that safe.
	07 03 21	M. Lunn 74.99.130.109
Although the strongest riding for the Tories in the 416, Michael Ignatieff is just to high profile within the Liberals to lose here. He is guaranteed a cabinet post if they form government and a possible future leader if they lose, so why would the voters of Etobicoke-Lakeshore want to turf him. Last time it was only as close as it was (the only riding the Tories came within 10 points of winning in Toronto) due to the nomination controversy.
	07 03 21	Red Robin 64.110.238.249
After placing 2nd in a field of 11 leadership candidates, Iggy is Mr. Dion's right hand man, and will be certain to keep his seat.