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Profil de circonscription
candidats:
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Député: |
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Raymonde Folco |
2006 Résultats:
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 | 08 03 08 |
A.S. 99.233.96.153 |
| At 17%, the CPC actually did *less* well here than any of the other Laval ridings--perhaps because there was a Liberal incumbent to absorb a lot of the non-Bloc vote. Thank heaven for Chomedey; it's what saved this seat for the Grits back in 1993 and most recently in 2006--but I'm barely reluctant to offer a Grit prediction, and only on grounds of the party's apparent ill-health; still, the fact of BQ not cresting a third of the vote must cause token comfort in the Grit camp. But what, then, of the Tory vote--or, in Mulcair's old turf, the NDP vote for that matter? With all of that in play, don't be surprised if Folco sinks to a 2006 Hull-Aylmer victory share... |
 | 07 09 19 |
Dr Bear & Prof Ape 70.51.131.208 |
| We're not surprised that the CPC did well here in the last election. Recall that prior to the uniting of the right the PC did very well in Laval and actually Federalist vot splitting between the PC and Liberals prevented allowed the BQ to keep Laval Center and Laval East. Laval West (now Laval les Iles), which contains Chomedey, went solidly Liberal. A closer race with the CPC coming second? Very possible! We would not call for Liberal downfall any time soon here (or in most other ridings they hold) as defeating a long-time incumbent in a general election is MUCH harder than winning a vacant riding in a byelection (a la Mulcair in Outremont). |
 | 07 08 18 |
binriso 156.34.222.27 |
Whoops I guess I made a couple mistakes last time. Interestingly, the CPC did pretty well here last time for a Montreal Laval riding and the ADQ did really well in most of Laval outside of the Chomedey riding. Perhaps a CPC 2nd place is a possibility if the BQ votes goes down enough but it will be a Liberal win nonetheless. |
 | 07 08 11 |
Dr Bear & Prof Ape 70.54.71.155 |
| Folco was never in any real trouble. Mulclair and the NDP knew that and is probably why he's running in Outremont (it is a long shot in a byelection let alone a general election). If Folco was able to ward the BQ in the Liberal disaster that was the '06 election, then she (yes binriso, Raymonde is a woman, not a man) will easily hold her own in the next election. |
 | 07 06 14 |
binriso 156.34.233.25 |
| Muclair isn’t running here. Raymonde Folco will win easily, which he would’ve done whether or not he was challenged by the NDP star candidate. |
 | 07 05 11 |
M.C. 24.122.224.138 |
| Les conservateurs et le NPD ont un point en commun: ils ne réussiront jamais à s'imposer dans Laval/Les Îles!! L'ex-député du PLQ, maintenant candidat du NPD Thomas Mulcair ne réussira pas à se faire élire dans le bastion libéral qu'est Laval-Les Iles (ni même dans Outremont). Raymonde Folco a eu chaud en 2006 mais au prochain scrutin, elle sera réélue avec une majorité de plus en plus imposante (avec 10,000 voix de majorité ou plus). |
 | 07 03 30 |
J.F. Breton 70.81.76.2 |
| Il est effectivement trop tôt pour prédire qui remportera les élections ici. L'ancien député libéral québécois, Thomas Mulcair, a été approché par quatre partis politiques fédéraux. Il pourrait bien se présenter pour les Conservateurs, ou encore le NPD... ce qui pourrait créer un «Phil Edmonston no 2» au Québec (dans Chambly à l'époque). Personnellement, je serait très à l'aise avec une candidature de Mulcair pour les Verts, étant un ancien ministre de l'Environnement. Tout est possible... pour l'instant, je ne donne pas Folco gagnante ici. Too close to call! |
 | 07 03 29 |
P.P. 70.82.50.99 |
| Although the A.D.Q. did well in the western part of the riding, they had little effect on the eastern part. This will remain a liberal stronghold |
 | 07 03 26 |
Smok Wawelski 69.159.68.252 |
| It's early days yet, but there is talk that former MNA Thomas Mulcair may run for the NDP federally. While the NDP has no organization to speak of, Mr. Mulcair does have loyalists from his days as a Quebec Cabmin and MNA, and this may help him mount a serious challenge to Raymonde Folco. |
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