08 03 05	A.S. 99.233.96.153
Familiar story. A hitherto safe Grit incumbent becomes Dead Liberal Walking in '04; then the Bloc finishes her off in '06--while losing share!With both Stephane and Justin as neighbours, this is definitely tops on the Montreal Liberal takeback radar; whether the radar'll have to be momentarily disconnected due to adverse polling circumstances remains to be seen. Oh, and in the Mulcair era, I wouldn't laugh the way I once might have at the NDP's share-stealing potential with a decent candidate in place--at least Suaveman was humble enough to offer ‘not enough to win’...
	08 02 24	Arculi 24.203.206.120
NDP is a joke in this place. In this riding, NDP has only the provincial score. It was the situation in 2004 and 2006. Right now is only 13%.
	08 02 22	Suaveman 74.56.239.175
The NDP have an excellent candidate in Alexandra Belec here (polyglot, long-time human rights activist, immigration-lawyer -a very talented individual). I would thus expect the NDP to make a big incursion -but unfortunately not enough to win. The question is: from whom will Belec siphon more of her newly-gained support? The conventional wisdom is that it will be from the Liberals because of shared federalist convictions; but remember: the NDP sucked way more votes out from the Bloc than the grits in the Outremont byelection. The Grits and Bloc are going have a war on their hands here.
	07 11 01	T.V. 209.202.78.177
With a good campaign, the Liberals may just take this back thanks to a phenomenon that has rarely been seen in Quebec: vote splitting. The Tories and NDP will take votes from both the Liberals and the Bloc, but they'll take more from the Bloc. That could well put the Liberals over the top.
	07 10 10	Daniel 156.34.73.208
A short while ago, I would have called this seat as an easy Liberal takeback - a marginal (and non-traditional) Bloc seat in Montreal, a Liberal leader from Montreal, and the Bloc in decline province-wide; but now, it would appear that the Liberals have taken almost as sharp of a nosedive in Quebec as the Bloc. I still give the edge to the Liberals here, but if their Quebec numbers remain south of 15% (where they've been as of late), the Bloc may be able to hold on here.
	07 07 03	binriso 156.34.213.248
Despite Stephane Dion’s low approval rating almost everywhere, I’d have to think even if it was like 40-45% in Montreal, 40% in this riding would be a solid win for the LPC. This ones going back to them next election, unless there is some sort of huge surge in nationalism which could lead to the BQ getting re-elected but i doubt it.
	07 04 12	Ancastarian 24.226.61.228
Eleni Bakopanos should pick this one up again. The large Greek population, plus Liberal increases in the polls and weakening anger over the sponsorship scandal means this riding will be painted red!
	07 04 08	Brian Appel 70.48.240.240
Prior to the Quebec election and prior to Bloc's freefall in Quebec, I'd have said this riding would stay Bloc. Now, though, there's no reason why the Liberals won't take Ahuntsic back. Lots of immigrants, voted against sovereignty in 1995. Liberal takeback for sure.
	07 04 07	Stéphane Gaudet 70.83.98.126
Trop tôt pour le dire. Pourrait cependant retourner dans le giron libéral si les électeurs libéraux qui sont restés chez eux le 23 janvier 2006 ou ont voté conservateur rentraient au bercail. D'autant plus si ce retour au bercail était jumelé à une certaine baisse du Bloc.
	07 03 29	P.P. 70.82.50.99
I am not so sure this will go back to the Liberals. Christine St-Pierre in the l'acadie section of the riding won an unusually low majority and the Crémazie section of the riding elected Lisette Lapointe, Jacques parizeau's wife. People seem to like Maria Mourani. This one should go in the too close to call category
	07 03 27	Dr Bear & Prof Ape 70.53.96.30
This is not natural BQ territory, rather an effect of the sponsorship scandal. Dion's popularity at home (he's in the neighbouring riding) coupled with a discouraged seperatist movement after Monday's provincial vote and an electorate who's all but forgotten about the sponsorship scandal, watch this to quickly return to the Liberals.
	07 03 26	Smok Wawelski 69.159.68.252
Maria Mourani's win last time will not likely be repeated for the Bloc. If Eleni Bakopanos runs again, and is not burdened with a disgracefully inept Paul Martinesque national campaign, this one goes back to the Grits.