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Constituency Profile
Candidates:
| TBA |
Incumbent: |
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Hon. Lawrence MacAulay |
2006 Result:
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 | 08 01 12 |
A.S. 99.233.96.153 |
| 20 years since PEI went 4-for-4 federal Liberal, and it's easy to forget how much of a surprise it was--and who'd have thought it'd stay that way. Blame the fact that by far the most viable opposition party remained the decimated Progressive Conservatives (who, on a province-by-province basis, got their best percentages in PEI in 1993, 1997, 2000--and still not enough to win seats); plus the fact that the Harper Conservatives are insufficiently Progressive. On the surface, Cardigan--Pat Binns country, remember--is where Tories might stake their strongest hopes; the PCs gave Lawrence MacAulay stiff ultra-marginal challenges in both '97 and '00--but now that PC is no more, and MacAulay's cabinet-target days are long gone, it's receded considerably from opposition radar. About the main thing that could threaten it right now is if there's an Islander temptation to counterpoint the Ghiz Jr. legislature federally... |
 | 07 06 06 |
binriso 156.34.212.113 |
| Well lets see, provincial Liberals swamped the PC's, PEI has been swept by the Liberals 6 straight times and really none of the ridings were even close, last time it was 53-33 province wide for the Liberals. The Conservatives have almost no chance here. Although maybe they do if they get Pat Binns to run for them. |
 | 07 04 02 |
M. Lunn 74.99.130.109 |
| Whatever controversy Lawrence MacAulay may have run into at the national level, he is well liked locally and most Tories here are Red Tories so many are philosophically more like the Liberals than current Conservatives. When one considers the ridings are small enough that it is easy to keep in touch with one's local MP, it is pretty tough to knock off an incumbent in PEI as opposed to elsewhere where MPs are less visible. |
 | 07 04 02 |
Nick J Boragina 74.99.228.118 |
| The Liberals have done well in PEI for a reason, they are moderate. The tories are far more right-wing, but also far more regional and pro-western. There might be some PEI ridings willing to go tory, but this is not one of them. |
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