Update:
8:55 PM 03/10/2005

Prediction Changed
12:46 AM 02/05/2005
Election Prediction Project
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Crowfoot
Federal Election - 2006



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
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Libearl/libéral
Adam Campbell
NDP/NPD
Ellen Parker
Conservative/conservateur
Kevin A. Sorenson
Green/Vert
Cameron Wigmore

Incumbent:
Kevin Sorenson

2004 Result:
Kevin Sorenson
37649
Adam Campbell
3615
Ellen Parker
3241
Arnold Baker
1795
Max Leonard Cornelssen
639

For historical result, please see
2004 Prediction page




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02 10 05 hatman
Rural Alberta always goes Conservative. Everyone knows that. Sorenson won by nearly 35,000 votes last time. The 2nd place finisher, Adam Campbell only had 3,600 votes. This is a riding that the PC's finished in 2nd place in! In all 3 elections against the Canadian Alliance/Reform no less. The top 2 parties were right wing. And that PC vote went straight to the new tories, rather than the Liberals. Sorenson went from 34,000 in 2000 to 37,000 in 2004. This was one of Reform's best ridings in 1988, where they lost by less than 8,000 votes. The closest this riding has ever been since its creation in 1966!
24 05 05 Craig
Safest seat for ANY party in all of Canada. No question about this one - Kevin Sorenson can sleep in a hole for the entire campaign and still win a 30,000 vote majority. About the only thing that could even threaten the Conservatives here is an offshoot on the extreme right wing (an Alberta separatist?). No one else will even be on the radar screen. Predicted results: CPC 84%, NDP 7%, LIB 5%, GRN 3%, others 1%.
04 05 05 Nick Boragina
Rural Alberta, Conservative Incumbant, history of electing right-wing MP's since the 1920's...
The question is not so much who will win, but who else even can win?
Crowfoot has always had a tradition of right-wing votes, party votes too, the alliance beat a strong independent here.
02 05 05 Miles Lunn
This was not just the strongest Conservative showing in Canada, but the strongest showing of any candidate in the last election. With the Conservatives up Kevin Sorenson will probably be joined by a few other colleagues who will likely break the 80% mark.
26 04 05 JC
This is a Conservative Bastion, It had the strongest support for any riding the Conservatives ran in. Sorenson will win by another massive landslide.



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