Election Prediction Project

Peace River South
British Columbia 2005

Update/Mise à jour:
11:09 AM 14/03/2005

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
2:54 PM 24/02/2005



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
(Links? See sponsorship details.)
Green Party
Ariel Lade
BC Liberal
Blair Lekstrom
NDP
Pat Shaw

Incumbent:
BC Liberals:
LEKSTROM, Blair
1996 Re-distribution:
Population:30950
Dev. from Quota:-34.35%
Area (km2):32785
Pop Density:0.94

2001 Result:
(2001 Prediction)

64.17%
7.70%
4.09%
2.26%

1996 Result (redistributed):

27.30%
31.74%
34.93%
1.25%
0.98%

Surrounding Ridings:
Peace River North
Prince George-Mount Robson
Prince George-Mount Robson



10 03 05 Nick Boragina
This was the most interesting race in 1996. As M.Lunn points out, this is really more Alberta then BC, the entire riding lies on the "other side" of the rockies from the province. While I dont think the RightWing4 will be able to outpoll the NDP indivually, togethor the 4 parties to the right of the Liberals will almost certainly finish second when combined. Whoever the NDP nominates here is a brave person, it takes alot to know your going to lose.
26 02 05 M. Lunn
This is a very conservative area. The Peace River area tends to be more Albertan than British Columbian in their thinking therefore they will elect the most right wing party on the ballot. Since unlike 1996, there is no party to the right of the BC Liberals, they should win this easily as much as people may hate the word liberal in this riding. I wouldn't be surprised if the Unity Party, Social Credit, Reform Party, or Conservative Party finishes in second, especially considering the Social Credit got 17% in 2001 despite running in only 2 ridings.


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