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Dellerba, Catherine |  |
Kasirlou, Marjan |  |
Parsa, Michael |  |
Pourzad, Reza |  |
Strelkov, Igor |  |
Wiseman, Rosaria |  |
Zheng, Kevin |
Incumbent:
 | Michael Parsa |
Population (2016): | 115227 |
| Population (2011): | 106064 |
2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)
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| |  |
MICHAEL PARSA |
| 25,214 | 56.03% |
|  |
NAHEED YAQUBIAN |
| 9,718 | 21.60% |
|  |
KATRINA SALE |
| 8,116 | 18.04% |
|  |
STEPHANIE NICOLE DUNCAN |
| 1,195 | 2.66% |
|  |
SERGE KOROVITSYN |
| 313 | 0.70% |
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SANTIAGO AMESH DESILVA |
| 218 | 0.48% |
|  |
MARGARITA BARSKY |
| 86 | 0.19% |
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JANUSZ BUTYLKIN |
| 71 | 0.16% |
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ABU ALAM |
| 67 | 0.15% |
2014 Election Result: (Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)
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15,758 | 45.72% |
|  |
13,136 | 38.11% |
|  |
3,629 | 10.53% |
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1,195 | 3.47% |
| OTHERS |
747 | 2.17% |
| Total Transposed |
34,464 |
| Component Riding(s) |
| Oak Ridges-Markham (52.73% of voters in new riding) 2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
| Richmond Hill (23.95% of voters in new riding) 2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
| Newmarket-Aurora (23.32% of voters in new riding) 2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
2021 Federal Election Prediction
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2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
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|  |
Leona Alleslev ** |
| 23,568 | 44.40% |
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Leah Taylor Roy |
| 22,508 | 42.40% |
|  |
Aaron Brown |
| 3,820 | 7.20% |
|  |
Timothy Flemming |
| 2,154 | 4.10% |
|  |
Priya Patil |
| 530 | 1.00% |
|  |
Serge Korovitsyn |
| 529 | 1.00% |
2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
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Leona Alleslev |
| 24,132 | 47.30% |
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Costas Menegakis ** |
| 23,039 | 45.20% |
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Brenda Power |
| 2,912 | 5.70% |
|  |
Randi Ramdeen |
| 654 | 1.30% |
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Kyle Bowles |
| 243 | 0.50% |
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 | 25/05/2022 |
Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188 |
| The federal Conservatives lost this seat federally in the fall election but as so often happens in Ontario they'll go opposite of what is occurring federally and that means a win here. |
 | 27/04/22 |
LeftCoast 207.194.253.26 |
| Liberal turned Tory Leona Allslev lost this seat federally to the Liberals, but PC MPP Michael Parsa is safe and will easily return to Queen's Park for a second term. |
 | 05/04/22 |
A.S. 99.225.52.35 |
| The best thing Michael Parsa might have going for him is that he's a backbencher, i.e. he doesn't stick out as an always-in-the-news target for Liberal decapitation a la Stephen Lecce next door; if he goes down, it'd be part of a generic York Region u-turn, which is not *completely* out of the question under Del Duca. Then again, maybe defeating Leona Alleslev federally is all the Lib-led decapitation that suffices for the constituents for now. |
 | 30/03/22 |
R.O. 24.146.13.249 |
| Michael Parsa was first elected here in 2018 , also the first election this riding existed under these boundaries so there was no incumbent. Marjan Kasirlou is the new liberal candidate and ndp yet to select one but not a riding there likely to focus on. This suburban riding is more pc friendly than nearby Richmond Hill riding so likely pc hold. |
 | 20/09/21 |
Sam 92.40.74.103 |
| A pretty solid win for the PCs last time as the York region delivered for them - barring another sizeable Liberal majority I think the PCs will win here as the NDP aren't a factor at all, and the Liberals have many other targets in York region that they could win government with without necessarily needing this one. But it may be a challenge for them to break 50% again amid suburban anger. |
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