Election Prediction Project

Red Deer-Mountain View
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 02:04:16

Constituency Profile


Borlé, Conner

Dreeshen, Earl

Garbanewski, Logan

Mitchell, Paul

Tremblay, Gary


Earl Dreeshen

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



7696.45 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Earl Dreeshen ** 4624574.30%
Chandra Lescia Kastern 835613.40%
Paul Harris 52338.40%
Simon Oleny 16212.60%
James Walper 4450.70%
Scott Milne 3120.50%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 660.14%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Red Deer
   (71.06% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Wild Rose
   (28.19% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (0.74% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

16/09/19 A.S.
What had been ‘odd provincially’ about Red Deer (re-)normalized in the 2019 election as both NDP seats went UCP by over 60%. It's all that old Myron-Thompson-country stuff in the south of the riding that pushed the seat t/w the 3/4 vote threshold in '15, anyway.
18/07/19 Laurence Putnam
Let's put it this way; if I won the Conservative nomination here, I'd probably just go ahead and lease an apartment in Ottawa.
08/04/19 Sam
Red Deer is odd provincially, but the Conservatives will definitely win federally in both Red Deer ridings.
23/02/19 M. Lunn
If the Tories could win this easily in a bad year, they will have no trouble this year, especially considering the anger at Trudeau in Alberta.

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