Election Prediction Project

British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017

Burnaby North

Prediction Changed
2017-05-08 16:55:47

Constituency Profile



Hallschmid, Peter

Lee, Richard T.

Routledge, Janet

Burnaby North
Richard T. Lee

Population (2014):58159
Deviation from average:9.50%
Geographical Area:23 sq km
2013 Election Result
Burnaby North
Richard T. Lee*
Janet Routledge
Carrie McLaren
Wayne Michael Marklund
Previous Prediction - 2013 Provincial Election
Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election


08/05/2017 Jack Cox
This seat very well might determine who the government is, It seems to be a barometer for who forms the government and if Lee goes down and he's never had it easy for re-election whatsoever then the NDP probably win. This is a coin flip. I just feel that this is a lower mainland seat and the NDP have polled well here, I have to think they just barely win.
29/04/2017 Laurence Putnam
If the burger poll is any indication, the NDP will win 75 of 87 seats in B.C. with 60% of the vote and the Greens will form the official opposition. Only Ralph Sultan and Andrew Wilkinson will be re-elected as Liberals. The resulting Liberal leadership contest will feature Trevor Linden, Michael Buble and Bruce Allen as candidates. And we all know none of those things will happen.
While a lot of fun and the best burger in New West, the burger poll is utterly meaningless as a gauge of support.
Richard Lee always win this riding and it only ever becomes more and more wealthy. Now a riding of million dollar homes, the old time Italian and Slavic families who live in this riding are not anti-pipeline at all. They want jobs, and there have always been oil jobs in this riding. Just because the anti-pipeline folks are vocal, does not mean that the many others who work and own small businesses along Hastings here are in agreement. In fact, the Green/NDP split on the issue after Weaver's superb campaign performance likely only muddies the possibility of an NDP win further.
26/04/2017 political fox
If the burger poll in New West at Burger Heaven is any indication and the trend with the polling firm holds up it looks like Richard Lee will sink with his party. The Liberals lost ground in both Metro Vancouver and the interior since the Radio debate to both the Greens but mainly the NDP. The governing liberals are consistently in 3rd place in that burger poll I mentioned and seem to be their own worst enemy this election.
21/04/2017 The Tyee
The Tyee: Could Kinder Morgan Cost the BC Liberals Four Seats?
21/04/2017 Proud BCer
I say narrow hold for the BC Liberals here, with incumbent Richard Lee just hanging on. This area is split between the Liberals and Conservatives federally, and is the NDP's weakest part of Burnaby.
25/03/2017 Crystal Ball
NDP have targeted this riding many times and failed. Likely stays BC Liberal in very close vow count. Similar dynamics to Fraserview. Could be a re-count as will be extremely close.
17 03 08 South Islander
This is now a lone red seat in a sea of orange. The NDP have gained one Burnaby seat every election since the 2001 wipeout, and this is the last one. Will they devote their resources to winning this one, or to defending their three other seats, all of which are notionally open (Chouhan has switched ridings)? I think this riding is an NDP target that will become a victim of campaign triage once the BC Liberals catch up during the campaign, as it may be seen as overextending a bit.
17 01 27 Pundit79
Richard Lee has been able to hang on to this riding for some reason and will probably do it again this time around.
17 01 14 Jack Cox
This is a swing riding, it's voted for a government MP in every single election since 1991. The entire Burnaby area should be up for grabs due to Kinder Morgan and though Richard Lee seems to keep squeaking through, You can bet Horgan will campaign here hard.

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