Election Prediction Project
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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2011

Victoria-Swan Lake


Prediction Changed
2013-05-14 23:58:19
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Bates, Christina

Fleming, Rob

Malthouse, Spencer Alexander

Incumbent:
Rob Fleming

Reference:

  • Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election
  • Pundits’ Guide - 2008 Prepresentation Order


    2009 Result:


    Rob Fleming*
    1311960.53%
    Jesse McClinton
    575426.54%
    David Wright
    2,62812.12%
    Robert (Bob) Savage
    1740.81%


  •  


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    13 04 20 GV
    206.47.117.43
    With plenty of civil servants living here (and voting in large numbers), there isn't any reasonable doubt about who will win. I do agree with Laurence Putnam that Fleming may well be denied a cabinet seat. I don't, however, think that such a decision would be of any moment to Fleming's constituents.
    13 03 27 Laurence Putnam
    50.98.247.34
    Guaranteed, easy NDP slam dunk. If Fleming doesn't make cabinet it's only because the Island will already be over-represented in cabinet.
    13 03 08 NO PARTISAN BS
    99.253.117.108
    The NDP will sweep the Island and the only issues to be decided are the margin of victory and how much the Green vote will grow. The Liberals will fall into third and may not even be in double digits.
    13 02 05 JKennethY
    76.70.114.163
    The Island will go 100% NDP. The Greens have an outside chance in a seat or two and will finish well ahead of the BC Libs in popular vote. The Conservatives are out of the question



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