Election Prediction Project
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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2011

Kamloops-North Thompson


Prediction Changed
2013-05-15 08:35:26
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Ford, John

Kendall, Kathy

Klop, Ed

Lake, Terry

Incumbent:
Terry Lake

Reference:

  • Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election
  • Pundits’ Guide - 2008 Prepresentation Order


    2009 Result:


    Terry Lake
    983046.94%
    Doug Brown
    932044.50%
    April Snowe
    1,4186.77%
    Wayne Allen Russell
    2511.20%
    Kesten C. Broughton
    1240.59%


  •  


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    13 05 12 deripi
    50.66.85.26
    Kendall wins by 700 votes, as this riding goes the same way as the province.
    13 05 07 Laurence Putnam
    204.244.83.122
    Kamloops has gone with the government for the past 100 years. That's as perfect a pedigree as you can get in this bellwether. For heavens' sakes, the candidates' numbers in this riding last time out mirror the province-wide numbers for both parties almost to a 'T?. We all know the outcome this time, so I'm placing KNT in the NDP column and assuming the streak continues.
    13 04 16 SG
    50.66.93.215
    New poll released by Oraclepoll shows the NDP candidate at 49 %, the Lib candidate at 43 % and the Tory candidate at 8%.
    http://www.kamloopsnews.ca/article/20130416/KAMLOOPS0101/130419886/-1/kamloops01/polls-suggests-north-south-divide
    Probably an NDP pickup, but a closer race than in the other Kamloops riding.
    13 03 24 bza
    75.152.122.172
    This was a fairly narrow loss for the NDP in 2009. Expect this to be a pick up this time around.
    13 03 12 DFinch
    24.85.188.5
    This has been a bellwether riding in BC politics for decades. The result from 2009 was close enough that, barring a monumental turnaround in public sentiment in the nest two months, the NDP appears likely to take this from Environment Minister Terry Lake.
    13 03 08 NO PARTISAN BS
    99.253.117.108
    This is the more likely pick up for the NDP in Kamloops with polling showing a Liberal drop across the area. Anything over 10% for the Conservatives makes this an NDP romp.



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