||UK Independence Party|
Ceredigion (99.3 %)
Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
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| ||10 05 04
|Plaid seems down in the polls, not up, while the LibDems are still sitting on their best results ever.|
| ||10 04 24
|The huge LD surge nationally will safely help this one into the LD column. PC suffering from not being in the TV debate. |
Ladbrokes: LD 4/9, PC 13/8.
2010 (Apr 20 YouGov): Lab 33, LD 29, Con 23, PC 9
2005 election: Lab 43, Con 21, LD 18, PC 13
| ||09 04 08
|I'm not sure why people are so confident that Plaid will regain this seat. Plaid is not exactly popular in Wales at the moment, having yoked itself to the unpopular Labour government in the Assembly. That's going to make it difficult for them to campaign against Labour and against the Lib Dems and Conseravtives everywhere in Wales.|
Now, certainly the Lib Dem gain last time was a huge surprise--but that doesn't mean the Lib Dems can't hold this seat. This seat has had a tradition of Liberal support before.
| ||09 03 12
|Plaid will retake Ceredigion from the Liberal Democrats, but it will remain marginal|
| ||09 02 16
|Plaid will retake Ceredigion, but it will still be a pretty tight race beteween Plaid and the Liberals.|