Election Prediction Project

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 22:15:41

Constituency Profile

Conservative Party
Alberto Costa
Labour Party
Kevin Hutchens
UK Independence Party
Martin Gray
Scottish National Party
Michael Weir
Liberal Democrats
Sanjay Samani

Mr Mike Weir
Angus (100 %)


Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus


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10 05 03 ridingbyriding
After thumbing though the various polling websites official poll results, it seems that in Scotland, the Tories are nowhere. The Conservatives are sitting on 17% in Scotland while the SNP is on 24%. With numbers like that, the SNP will hold on to seats like this one.
10 04 27 Boy Waffle
Despite poor showing in the polls, I think the Tories should be able to take this seat, for essentially the same reasons as I described in the neighbouring Perth & North Perthshire.
10 04 11 Rhyddfrydol
The SNP should hold off the Tory challenge here.
10 01 04 Akava77
Angus (and East Angus, the predecessing seat forming the main part of the current seat) have been SNP since 1987. Although the Westminster seat is more marginal between the Tories and SNP than the Holyrood seat, I can't foresee the Tories winning here this time round. The Tories will make 2 or 3 gains in Scotland, but these will most likely be in Southern Scotland, and at the expense of Labour / Lib Dems, rather than the SNP.
09 10 11 paul
I reckon it will be a close race in Angus, but will the Conservatives putting in alot of work ahead of the election it might be enough to swing it.
09 02 17 Bob
The SNP will most likely increase their majority here at the expense of Labour and/or the Lib Dems. The Tories can be expected to increase their share of the vote although given the failure of the Scottish wing to capitalize on their high polling south of the border it seems unlikely the Conservatives can swing this one into the blue column.

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