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Constituency Profile
Candidates:
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Conservative Party Belinda Hacking |  |
Scottish National Party Joe McCall |  |
UK Independence Party Otto Inglis |  |
Labour Party Thomas Docherty |  |
Liberal Democrats Willie Rennie |
Incumbent: |
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Willie Rennie Dunfermline & West Fife (100 %) |
Electorate: |
Current | 70373 |
2005 | 70775 |
Transposed 2005 Result: Source: Electoral Calculus |
 | 20111 |
 | 4376 |
 | 8549 |
 | 8026 |
Other | 1332 |
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 | 10 04 30 |
Laird of Camster 94.197.104.219 |
Willie Rennie seems likely to win, though it will be shown as a gain on the night. |
 | 10 04 27 |
ridingbyriding 173.32.33.116 |
By-Election or not, I find it a little hard to stomach that any LibDem should lose his or her seat this go. |
 | 10 04 27 |
Boy Waffle 129.215.90.50 |
With the LibDems surging in Scotland, as in the U.K. as a whole, it seems unlikely that they will lose any seat they already hold, even one which was only won in a by-election. |
 | 10 04 11 |
Rhyddfrydol 92.41.135.249 |
Willie Rennie has built up a powerful base. The LibDems won the corresponding Holyrood seat, and Mr Rennie should buck the trend of by-election winners losing at the General election. |
 | 10 01 23 |
akava77 82.41.50.175 |
Tactical voting against Labour, and for the incumbent should see the SNP and Tories squeezed, and the Lib Dems should win here again. |
 | 10 01 06 |
Akava77 82.41.245.11 |
I don't think the by-election result here was quite as extraordinary as the Glasgow East result (which really is a rock solid Labour seat). If there's one seat in Scotland that has changed hands in a by-election since 2005, that is likely not to go back to the original party, then I would say Dunfermline & West Fife would be that seat. The Lib-Dem majority is nearly 2000 here, and it's quite possible that the tactical anti-Labour vote could go to the Lib Dems, possibly increasing their majority. (Also Lib Dems hold the Holyrood seat). |
 | 09 03 09 |
Predictor 99.231.184.167 |
It is highly questionable whether the stunning by-election upset can be repeated. |
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