Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Warrington North


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:16:22
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Labour Party
Helen Jones
Independent
Albert Scott
Liberal Democrats
David Eccles
Conservative Party
Paul Campbell

Incumbent:
Helen Jones
Warrington North (93.6 %)
Helen Southworth
Warrington South (4.6 %)

Electorate:
Current
71868
2005
72162

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
21235
9191
7541
Other
2026

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10
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