Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Wansbeck


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:33:53
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Conservative Party
Campbell Storey
Labour Party
Ian Lavery
UK Independence Party
Linda-Lee Stokoe
Independent
Malcolm Reid
Christian Party
Michael Flynn
Green Party
Nic Best
Liberal Democrats
Simon Reed
British National Party
Stephen Finlay

Incumbent:
Mr Denis Murphy
Wansbeck (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
63329
2005
63095

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
20314
5516
9735
Other
1244

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10
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