08 05 11	binriso 156.34.209.176
I think Dawn Black will win. Joyce Murray isn?t running here again, which probably means the Liberal vote goes down a bit (Ok i know she wasnt that strong of a candidate but she was an MLA). Plus she will have the incumbents advantage. The Greens are very weak here also, like 3% last time. The CPC have a candidate, probably better than their previous one but ill pick the NDP for now.
	08 03 03	24.81.18.126
The more suburban ridings in BC tend to be 3-way sea-saw races. That being said, the Liberals nominated an inexperienced candidate who will likely do worse than former provincial MLA/minister Joyce Murray. This race will be between NDP incumbent Dawn Black and CPC teacher Yonah Martin. Martin is a star candidate on her own right - as a prominent organizer in the Korean-community and the recipient of several community awards. She will be able to connect to the Asian community. Though it will be a close race, I will predict this riding to be a CPC win.
	08 02 03	A.S. 99.233.96.153
Dawn Black's back; yet in a way, this turf should've been hers all along, but for the execrable state of the federal (and provincial, for that matter) party. And just her luck if for the *second* time, she's squeeze-played out after one term--but in all honesty, I don't see it as any less safe for the NDP than its Burnaby/New West (and Surrey, for that matter) neighbours, whatever the opponents are.
	07 10 18	70.71.21.143
While the vote in New Westminster is split between the NDP and Liberals, I think that the split will not be sufficient to let the conservatives win. The NDP will probably make substantial gains in the upcoming election and will not lose this seat.
	07 09 16	Mike 70.68.186.75
I think Dawn Black has a slight edge at this time. BC voters don't generally vote along ethnic lines, and this is obvious when you see both heavily East Asian eastside Vancouver seats have MPs of European-descent. Losing Forseth will probably help the Conservatives but keep in mind that his views also appealed to certain voters. Black hasn't stood out as a particularly strong MP, but has maintained some profile. The wild card here is what will happen to the Liberal vote if Dion doesn't gets his act together by the next election (and whether he gets replaced).
	07 07 08	12th year resident in Coquitlam 24.80.106.79
The game of this riding is how will the LEFT & MIDDLE voters split. Conservatives are at about 30% of the vote in this riding, Liberal/NDP about the same so it is anybody's game.
	07 04 15	Steve L. 24.84.150.65
Conservative fortunes definitely improved with the departure of Paul Forseth. And the lacklustre performance of the incumbent MP certainly isn't making the Conservatives' lives more difficult. But Yonah Martin is a new face ultimately, and i'm not sure how well she'll fare. at this point i'm going to say if she does the toe-party-line stuff like Dawn Black she doesn't have much of a chance of winning.
	07 04 06	M. Lunn 24.80.152.58
I wouldn't be so quick to call this one for the Conservatives. The fact they have an Asian candidate doesn't mean the Asian community will go Conservatives. Asians don't vote solely on the issue of what race the candidate comes from. Add to the fact the Asian vote went mostly BC Liberal in the last provincial election, yet this area still elected mostly BC NDP MLAs so that suggests to me that unlike Richmond, where winning the Asian vote could tip this that one to the Tories, this will be a lot more difficult. Paul Forseth only won in 2004 due to a perfect three way split. Unless the NDP and Liberals perfectly split the non-Conservative vote, the Conservatives won't win this. They consistently get around 32-33% here and probably will again. My guess is Dawn Black holds this, but not a guarantee. Lets remember this includes the working class New Westminster which is the most left wing suburb in the GVRD, middle class Coquitlam, which is really a three way race, while the polls of Port Moody it includes are mostly NDP as the more conservative ones are all in James Moore's riding.
	07 04 01	24.81.18.126
Yonah Kim Martin has deep roots with the Korean and Asian community. In ways, she represents what the Conservatives need to capitalize in the next election: -Young -Female -Ethnic minority, has deep roots in community For these reasons, the Conservatives will invest a lot of financial aid into her campaign. With Paul Forseth gone (many saw him as too right-wing), Kim Martin will likely take this one back.