Prediction Changed
10:39 AM 28/03/2007

Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Westlock-St. Paul
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
New Democratic
Drury, Della
Christian Heritage
Hofstede, Sip
Liberal
Houle, Leila
Green
Murphy, Aden
Conservative
Storseth, Brian

Incumbent:
Brian Storseth

2006 Result:
Brian Storseth
29698
Cory Ollikka
6531
Peter Opryshko
4368
Richard De Smet
2136
Werner Gisler
416
Clarence Schultz
381

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




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08 09 03 Media Marker
209.162.162.236
The incumbent here has been conspicuously absent from the riding during his tenure, squandering the goodwill earned by his predecessor Dave Chatters. He has also pointedly excluded a large part of his Conservative constituency from any active role in his administration and campaign, and lingering resentments over this will come back to haunt him.
The Liberal candidate - Leila Houle - is young, attractive, intelligent and involved in the riding. SHe has had an opportunity to make inroads into this traditionally small-c conservative area, and has attracted support from a wide range of political views.
I expect that if she can muster the voters who stayed away in droves in 2006, that she should top the polls in 2008.
07 12 10 A.S.
99.233.96.153
For whatever it's worth, NFU past president Cory Ollikka easily scored the best '06 Liberal result in an Alberta riding not prefaced by ‘Calgary’ or ‘Edmonton’--and that's still only 15%. No contest.
07 03 25 Ancastarian
24.226.61.228
A rural Alberta riding - guaranteed slam-dunk for the Conservatives.



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