Prediction Changed
10:31 AM 02/04/2007

Election Prediction Project

Edmonton-St. Albert
Federal Election - 2007

Constituency Profile

New Democratic
Burkhart, Dave
Johnston, Peter
Rathgeber, Brent
Sleiman, Sam

John Williams

2006 Result:
John Williams **
Stanley Haroun
Mike Melymick
Peter Johnston

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06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result

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08 02 16 A.S.
After Edmonton Centre/East/Strathcona, the fourth most likely Edmonton riding to fall to the Grits/NDP; it helps that it's totally urban, since what isn't Edmonton is the satellite city of St. Albert. But ‘fourth most likely’ still means ‘not very likely at all’ around these parts.
07 04 02 M. Lunn
Brent Rathenger should have little trouble winning this since although the Alberta PCs didn't do very well here provincially, Edmonton quite often votes for centre-left parties provincially and centre-right ones federally. After Trudeau's National Energy Program, the name Liberal is almost like a four letter word in Alberta so this pretty much ensures whoever gets the Tory nomination wins even if people aren't hardcore conservatives.
07 04 01 Rey D.R.
John Williams will not be running again. Replacing him is former Tory MLA Brent Rathgeber from Edmonton-Calder who was defeated after one term in the Alberta Legislature by current MLA, NDP David Eggen. That's part of the riding may not bode well for Rathgeber, but I can't see him having much trouble in Edmonton's more affluent areas northern areas, when the houses great REAL big up past 149 ave. and in the suburban/rural areas. Easy win for Rathgeber.

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