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 | 08 02 27 |
John D 128.233.152.32 |
| Easy hold for the Conservative Party. The riding given the split 50/50 can allow for the Conservative candidate to win hands down in the rural areas and do poorly in the city and still win thanks to the split with the NDP and Liberals. Though to correct Nick Saskatoon is growing faster than most Canadian cities and Regina is growing near the national average. |
 | 08 02 12 |
A.S. 99.233.96.153 |
| Once a leader-in-waiting, Lorne Nystrom was so past his sell-by date in 2006 that Nettie Wiebe actually surpassed him as Sask's top NDP prospect. Sans Nystrom, the scenario resembles that of RLLC next door: garbled, and maybe Tory advantage by status-quo and opposition-split default. Okay, maybe come *next* redistribution, Saskatchewan'll be rid of these darned urban-rural seats that're Tory drops in the bucket... |
 | 07 12 09 |
Energuy 65.255.232.170 |
The NDP and the Liberals are splitting the vote in this riding. Between them they got 53% of the vote. Either the NDP or the Liberal candidate can win if they can convince the other side that they have the winning candidate. Conservative support will suffer as a result of the equalization issue. Other issues that may impact the conservative support are the Karlheinz Schrieber affair, program cuts for women and minorities, and the difficulties in the livestock sector. The Liberal candidate is a Director of the Canadian Wheat Board and will pick up some of the rural NDP votes on this basis. The Liberal platform adresses many of the concerns of NDP voters and the election of a Liberal MP can result in this riding being represented in the government. This riding will be a close race. |
 | 07 10 18 |
T.V. 209.202.78.177 |
| To think that a new candidate could do better than an icon with total name recognition like Lorne Nystrom, bad campaign or not, is pretty questionable in my opinion. That being said, the Liberal vote will likely go down since their candidate won't be the sister of the national campaign manager. That does make it still possible for an NDP pickup. |
 | 07 06 26 |
SaskPhoenix 198.169.112.254 |
| I am not going to make a prediction as of now, but with the way things are looking for the Saskatchewan Conservative MPs over the broken equalization promises, their re-election chances have become weaker. If Premier Calvert and public opinion continue against the Tories, the urban Tory MPS could be turfed out by angry voters on election day. |
 | 07 05 19 |
Dr Bear & Prof Ape 70.54.70.128 |
| Latest poll has the Conservatives down 8% with the NDP up 8% in western Canada. Same poll has Greens down 3% and Liberals up 3%. Granted an election is not anytime soon, but with numbers like that and the Sask government really honked off about the budget, this is one that could easily flip to the NDP unless things change. |
 | 07 04 24 |
Saskwatcher 71.17.13.75 |
Although Scheer won this riding by an increased margin, the fundamentals behind the NDP riding association have changed. By election day last year, Nystrom had less people volunteering for him in the riding as a whole than the Palliser campaign had in the Cathedral district of Regina. This time around the NDP has nominated Janice Bernier, one of Regina's best known volunteers. She is well known for her annual charity Christmas dinner and has a great deal of credibility amongst first nations people. Additionally, the coffers of the riding association are once again beginning to swell, and my sources tell me that Janice has increased her campaign volunteer force ten-fold from what Nystrom had. |
 | 07 04 17 |
DMD 71.17.148.162 |
| Everyone said 2004 was a fluke; everyone said watch out, in 2006, now that Lorne knows he needs to work for it. And even I believed it. Yet Mr Scheer won with a pretty decent margin again, against an established and well-favoured NDP icon. He is a personable, articulate and intelligent man, able to engage well with voters of all sorts in face to face situations; he has had the remarkable compliment, for one so young, of serving as a deputy Speaker in the House and, frankly, unless the Liberal vote collapses completely AND goes overwhelmingly to the NDP, he's going to hold this seat and continue to grow into a young Parliamnetarian to watch. |
 | 07 04 03 |
Nick J Boragina 74.12.71.10 |
| In the last election I called this for the tories, despite Nystrom's run (I voted for him as NDP leader back when I was a member BTW), this time Nystrom is nowhere to be found; the tories can coast here and still win. |