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Constituency Profile
Candidates:
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Incumbent: |
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Glen Pearson |
2006 Result:
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 | 08 03 17 |
The Jackal 69.158.17.163 |
| Is running as only interesting in the by-election that saw Liz May the Green Party finish second. But with her running in Central Nova this is a very safe Liberal riding. |
 | 07 07 17 |
Tom 69.86.16.159 |
| Easy Liberal hold. I expect the Greens to hold on to quite a few of their voters by inertia, perhaps enough to beat the NDP into fourth again, but many of their supporters will drift back to the Liberals and NDP without by-election conditions and Elizabeth May. The Conservatives, despite being likely to come second, are utterly irrelevant because they can't win more than 25-30% of the vote here. |
 | 07 04 27 |
J Adams 67.158.79.248 |
| In a strange move, Paul Van Meerbergen moved over from London West (where he lives and where he currently sits as a city councillor) to run in London North Centre. Pearson is well respected and well liked. With his recent by-election triumph I can't see any reason for a change here. Pearson wins. |
 | 07 04 26 |
A.S. 74.99.222.209 |
| 26% wasn't *that* distant a second--it was only a 9-point margin, after all. But seriously; in a general election, the Greens might come a close second in LNC only if they're polling above the 15-20% threshold at large in Ontario. Exhale; we're back to a sort of normal now, folks. Maybe back to the 40Grit/30Tory/25NDP pattern as of late, perhaps with points shaved off whomever on behalf of GP--but it's still a gamble to bet on even a retained Green deposit, let alone close second. For all we know, the current Red/Green dynamic might even allow for a de facto Glen Pearson endorsement on Ellie May's part--and remember: right after winning the byelection, Pearson openly supported Dion at the leadership convention. He's already been blessed... |
 | 07 04 21 |
JP 74.110.20.239 |
| It's amazing that anyone thinks the Greens will be legitimate contenders here. To be clear: they only got a distant second place 26% when they were running their Leader, they had the resources of the entire country and party at their disposal, they spent near the maximum allowed, the other parties were distracted with municipal races and leadership races, and two of the parties ran candidates despised by most of their membership--then there is absolutely no way they can win, or even be competitive once they go back to a small budget Jeff Culbert campaign. Look for them to fall back into single digits. The NDP have lost a lot of ground after the by-election that will take some time to rebuild (especially with Maynard now running provincially in Fanshawe),the Conservatives are running a single issue (all taxes are bad)candidate who represents a municipal ward outside of the riding. Glen Pearson is respected by people of all political stripes, this seat will be his for the foreseeable future. |
 | 07 04 16 |
Cameron W 24.64.33.164 |
| I agree that the Liberals will probably win this riding, but I think the Green Party candidate could take a close second if they're a strong community member and run a professional campaign. The last byelection where Elizabeth May took 2nd place with 26%, ahead of the NDP & Conservative candidates, will help the next Green candidate in that riding. |
 | 07 03 21 |
M. Lunn 74.99.130.109 |
| With Elizabeth May not running, Glen Pearson should regain most of those votes and within without too much difficulty. London-Fanshawe and London West are not 100% safe for the Liberals, but London North Centre is. |
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