Prediction Changed
3:30 PM 29/03/2007

Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Kitchener-Conestoga
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
TBA

Incumbent:
Hon. Andrew Telegdi

2006 Result:
Andrew Telegdi**
31136
Ajmer Mandur
18817
Edwin Laryea
11889
Pauline Richards
4298

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




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07 11 28 seasaw
99.225.19.235
Liberal Hold unless Mr. Talegdi decides to retire. This is not a Liberal riding, it's Andrew Talegdi's riding. It is one of the few ridings in Ontario where people vote for the person not the party.Mr. Talegdi and Ms Witmer are both good people, one's a Conservative, the other a Liberal. Prior to Talegdi and Witmer, the former riding, which consists of the majority of the new riding, voted for Liberal Herb Epp provincially and Conservative Walter McLean federally. The seats switched parties, when the two gentlemen decided to retire.
07 04 22 A.S.
74.99.222.209
Judging from previous EPP go-arounds, ?isn't overly hated? is stretching it--not that it's the (unbiased?) final authority on Telegdi's (un?)popularity. Yet there's the latent promise of a Kanata-esque ?tech-Tory? undercurrent here in RIM country, with Elizabeth Witmer's provincial representation tossed in for good measure--maybe that's why CPC made a ballyhooed postmodern-politics play with a Sikh candidate, Ajmer Mandur, last time out. Unfortunately, that overidealistic gamble probably explains why the Tories lost ground in K-W in '06 (and, maybe, why Edwin Laryea was the only Waterloo Region NDPer to gain ground--for anti-Grits, is an Afro-Canadian a more palatable option than an Indo-Canadian?). Just because Waterloo's got a big university demo and a Silicon Valley undercurrent doesn't mean it's *that* electorally progressive. So, the ugly skew of ethno-racial politics may lie behind why Telegdi's currently sitting on, rather incredibly, the best Ontario Grit share outside of the inner GTA--and that also means greater likelihood of greater falloff...
07 03 24 M. Lunn
74.99.130.109
As much as Warren Kinsella may hate the guy, this is a very safe Liberal riding at the federal level and Andrew Telegedi isn't overly hated here. This has two universities in it and being largely urban unlike the others in Southwestern Ontario, the Liberals should hold this with no trouble.



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