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Constituency Profile
Candidates:
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Incumbent: |
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Hon. Karen Redman |
2006 Result:
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 | 08 02 06 |
R.O. 66.186.79.102 |
| This one is currently held by a liberal mp, and she’s more or less safe for time being. But the riding has been the kind which moves with the trends. It was pc when they were in power back in 80’s then went liberal and same thing happened provincially as well during 90’s.But with things so close and liberals doing better in urban Ontario ridings. This one stays were it is for the time being. But no official prediction since its too early and no race here yet. But it will be an interesting riding to watch when there is an election. |
 | 07 06 27 |
Concerned Tory #2 72.143.62.174 |
| I think ‘Concerned Tory’ needs to get their facts straight here. Any self-respecting politician, even if they are pro-life, would be remiss to make that a campaign issue, it's just not smart politics, and it's not an issue that's even on the table right now. I know it'll take alot for Woodworth to beat Redman, but I don't think Redman will get a landslide in any case. |
 | 07 05 23 |
Citoyen Dion 72.143.179.108 |
The most recent post made here was almost certainly made by 2006 CPC candidate Steve Cage's campaign manager, and sounds like sour grapes after Cage only captured 30% of the votes at the CPC nomination meeting last month. Look, anyone who thinks either incumbent Liberal Karen Redman or the new CPC candidate Stephen Woodworth are liabilities at this moment is clearly spewing partisan rhetoric around this site. Both candidates bring impressive qualifications to their campaign (Redman has good ties with cultural/community groups, name recognition, a good chance at cabinet if a Liberal government is elected; Woodworth is a successful lawyer with a practice in the riding, ties with community groups as well, ran previously as a Liberal in 1988 and thus can appeal to soft Liberals as well as Conservative voters in the riding). This riding, by its nature, is the ultimate bell-weather riding, having (with its previous incarnations) only sent an opposition member to Ottawa once since 1967 and that was with Redman's re-election last year when she was still Government Whip in a minority situation. Given the Conservatives' incumbancy status as the government, the scare tactics used by the Liberal campaigns of the past will not be nearly as effective, allowing the CPC vote to grow. It really all depends on how the two major parties will be doing when the writ is dropped and how the campaign plays out. Until then, this one is TCTC! |
 | 07 04 21 |
Concerned Tory 69.158.106.51 |
| The Conservatives just nominated a right to life candidate in Steven Woodworth. The guy wants to make abortion the main issue in the campaign and he doesn't even live in the riding. Redman will take this in a land slide. Shame. |
 | 07 04 12 |
A.S. 74.99.222.209 |
| KC may be less ‘white Christian Canadian born’ than it once was; but then, so is Kanata, Nepean, Gloucester, and we all know how they've gone. One might also point to the 2003 Ontario election, which this site called for the Liberals rather early in the game; yet in the end, Tory incumbent Wayne Wettlaufer lost by less than 5 points. And speaking of Ontario politics, there's the matter of Liz Witmer next door, representing a seat that's scarcely less diverse and even more academically-centred--get the picture? It all hinges upon how much oomph the Grits' rep as a ‘central city’ sort of party still has--don't underestimate it, even if they're out of power. And besides, Karen Redman was a bit of a ‘rising star’ in the Liberal regime's twilight years; that rep might still hold--besides, a lot of her leakage might go NDP or even Green instead, that's what central cities a short bus/bike ride from a university campus gets you. Less than 40% victory, perhaps? |
 | 07 04 11 |
Angry Ontarian 24.36.172.204 |
It's incorrect to assess this riding based on it not being as ‘white Christian Canadian born’ as it was 20 years ago... It's a notorious bellwether riding. Kitchener Centre ALWAYS goes with whoever wins Ontario. It's one of those ridings that gets swept up with the rest of the 15+ 'average' subarb seats (winner takes all). It would be premature to even make a prediction until the dying days of the campaign. |
 | 07 04 02 |
M. Lunn 74.99.130.109 |
| This may have once gone conservative when this was a smaller city and predominately white Christian Canadian born, but that is not the case anymore. This is a growing increasingly multicultural city that is very different than it was 20 years ago. In addition Karen Redman has been a good MP so even if the surrounding ridings are going Tory, this one won't. |
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