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 | 08 02 15 |
A.S. 99.233.96.153 |
| If an ADQ victory's gonna be regarded as a one-time-only ‘what were we thinking?’ phenomenon anywhere, it's in territory like this; the chances of a Tory upset would have been greater had the minority gov't fallen in early-mid '07 as many were predicting. Though it's worth considering the differences btw/ADQ and CPC territory out there. i.e. the likely ADQ/BQ zones in suburban Montreal, vs the CPC/Lib or CPC/PQ blend in Pontiac and the Saguenay... |
 | 07 11 09 |
C B 72.38.227.236 |
| Without a doubt, this riding will stay BQ. This is a staunchly separatist and Bloc riding. No matter how high the Tories or Liberals climb, the Bloc have it locked. |
 | 07 09 24 |
Nick J Boragina 74.14.23.192 |
| This was the single strongest riding for the Bloc in the last election. Since then we’ve had a by-election here won by a candidate (for the bloc) who some considered fringe. Although the ADQ has a base here, and I don’t think this riding will remain the strongest for the Bloc, I do expect that they will be the winners, with a small chance of TCTC. |
 | 07 07 18 |
binriso 156.34.212.139 |
Please, the Bloc ran away with this one last election when the Conservatives were at 25% in Quebec and in the by-election won almost 4 times as many votes as the Conservative party with 66.3%(!) of the vote for the BQ. No one has any chance of taking them out this time either. Polls aren’t really showing any big Conservative growth in Quebec with most polls putting them between 25-30%. Now i know that some have put them at like 33% or something like that, but others have put them at 16%-17% too. Even though the BQ are declining they are still generally ahead by around 5% in each poll. They'd probably have to be trailing the CPC by like 30 points in Quebec before this one would even be close. The CPC are not the ADQ. |
 | 07 04 12 |
Ancastarian 24.226.61.228 |
| This riding will stay Bloc. Duceppe is a lot more popular than the fumbling Bosclair, and this has traditionally been on of the Bloc's strongest. Unless there is a total Bloc wipeout (and there won't be), expect this riding to return another BQ lackey... |
 | 07 04 02 |
Nick J Boragina 74.99.228.118 |
| Smok should remember that the ADQ's win here was a shocker to the ADQ itself. Even with the tories far behind in the last ballot, they do stand to potentially gain this time around, especially when you take into account that 2 years ago they had no party machine in the province, and the ADQ had no party machine in the area. Now both are in place, and it could spell surprise victory. Fortier will be looking for a riding to run in, should be pick this one, its anyones guess. |
 | 07 03 29 |
M. Lunn 74.99.130.109 |
| This area actually went for the ADQ in the last provincial election so not quite as safe as some might think. Still much of the ADQ was a protest vote and I really cannot see how the Conservatives will pick this up. If Mario Dumont were Conservative leader federally and Andre Boisclair the BQ leader, this could be up for grabs, but Harper is not nearly as popular as Dumont and Ducepper is far more popular than Boisclair so right now, chalk this up for the Bloc Quebecois. |
 | 07 03 27 |
Dr Bear & Prof Ape 70.53.96.30 |
| Surprise! Repentigny went ADQ in Monday's election. Maybe this isn't so secure for the BQ after all. We really think the BQ will hold it, but then again, in 2006 we though 6 seats for the Conservatives in Quebec was reasonable yet optimistic, 8 seats highly unlikely and 10 seats just plain silly....glad to see we were wrong! |
 | 07 03 26 |
Smok Wawelski 69.159.68.252 |
| Repentigny is one of ths staunchest Pequiste regions in Quebec, so even if the Tories end up dominating Quebec, this one stays in Bloc hands. |