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Profil de circonscription
candidats:
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Député: |
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Rt. Hon. Paul Martin |
2006 Résultats:
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 | 08 02 15 |
A.S. 99.233.96.153 |
| Funnily enough, even without PMPM and with Dion in the doldrums, I suspect this makes for a *more* confident Liberal prediction than last time--maybe the clincher is that even if PMPM lost ground in '06, so did the Bloc (even though wouldbe-upsetter May Chiu became, through her campaign pregnancy and opponent's profile, a bit of a sentimental media fixation). Thus, BQ's plateau has been proven to be around 30%; NDP'll only get in if the Mulcair effect goes like gangbusters (i.e. at least 10 or so Montreal seats); CPC will only get in if Harper manages to magically reassemble a Mulroney-coalition mandate; etc. At worst, Liberal-by-default-and-by-elimination. |
 | 07 10 27 |
binriso 156.34.232.141 |
| Hmm well i thought that Marc Garneau was going to run here but i guess not. I dont know if any of the candidates have been nominated yet, except i think the CPC is the same one as last time. Well I have to say Liberal hold and probably by a fair margin, but depending on the candidate it could be closer than expected. Id be slightly worried if I were the Liberals, even in Montreal and these supposed safe seats. |
 | 07 04 09 |
Brian Appel 64.230.123.143 |
| The last Prime Minister or former Prime Minister to step down and have his seat remain with his party in the following election was John Turner. Think about it. Chretien's riding went Bloc in 2004, Campbell lost her seat to a Liberal in 1993 who got re-elected there in 1997, and Mulroney's seat went Bloc in 1993. Will Martin break the tradition? It's neighbouring two Liberal ridings and three Bloc ridings, but two of those Bloc ridings are likely to go Liberal next time. I think the Liberals will hold on here. LaSalle-Emard is quite francophone, but not very nationalist. If the Bloc's numbers were higher, I'd say it's TCTC, but for right now, it'll be a Liberal hold. |
 | 07 03 27 |
Dr Bear & Prof Ape 70.53.96.30 |
| This is very much Liberal territory, as evident to Paul Martin's win here by a safe 8000 vote margin (okay, that's bad for this riding but it is still a safe margin). With the stars aligning for Dion in the Montreal area, this will be an easy keep. |
 | 07 03 24 |
M. Lunn 74.99.130.109 |
| Even though Paul Martin is not seeking re-election here, this is a pretty safe Liberal riding and considering how disliked he became in Quebec by 2006, I suspect the Liberals will do just as well as he did last time whoever they run. |
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