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 | 08 02 20 |
A.S. 99.233.96.153 |
| Hard to tell about Françoise Boivin--as good a Liberal MP as she might have been, she was still in office less than two years on Marc Assad's coattails, with hardly sufficient opportunity for profile, so I don't know how much of a ‘Françoise Who?’ factor might obtrude. True, she'd be a genuine NDP ‘score’; but I'm also fearing an anticlimax akin to Alex Cullen's provincial fate in Ottawa West-Nepean in '99. (The paradox is: the fact of her candidacy could wind up helping Pierre Ducasse in Hull-Aylmer instead!) In fact, why just focus on the NDP--bearing in mind Lawrence Cannon's proximity, Tory strength across the Ottawa, and the strong PC second place in Gatineau under Jean Charest in '97, this'd have all the makings, still, now, of a sexy CPC target, too... |
 | 08 02 20 |
binriso 156.34.209.176 |
| Well if that is true about Françoise Boivin, Gatineau is probably the only seat where all four parties have a legitimate chance to win (Maybe Hull-Aylmer too). Probably gives the advantage to the BQ because of widespread federalist vote splitting and I wouldnt be surprised if the winning candidate here gets less than 30% of the vote. But then again, there might be a coalescence of the federalist vote around someone, but as for now its very up in the air here. To be honest, the NDP probably have the advantage in terms of federalist parties if the election is called soon. |
 | 08 02 18 |
DL 99.233.94.146 |
| Apparently Francoise Boivin the former Liberal MP for Gatineau who lost narrowly to the BQ in 2006 is about to announce that she will try to regain her seat - running for the NDP!! Expect the federalist vote to coalesce behind her and for the Liberals to wind up in single digits. |
 | 08 02 17 |
R.D. 24.57.212.58 |
Former Liberal MP Françoise Boivin has reportedly joined the NDP and is considering another run for office under that banner. http://www.cyberpresse.ca/article/20080215/CPDROIT/80215288/6784/CPDROIT |
 | 08 01 08 |
R.O. 209.91.149.146 |
| Do the liberals even have a candidate here yet and if not how are liberals so sure they will win ? and previous results from 04 and 06 make me wonder. well it has been historically liberal it has not been solid recently , only held off the bloc by around 1000 votes in 04 and lost by over 4000 last election and the same candidate ran for bloc each time and he is now mp.. But this area isn’t a bloc stronghold either so I’m expecting a close 3 way race here but its not a guaranteed liberal pick up at current time , so at best too close to call . |
 | 07 12 11 |
binriso 156.34.226.67 |
| Conservatives better have a damn good candidate to win here. Well they have a businessman and a local councillor so i guess theyll do better than last time. I still just dont see it. Gatineau was even won by the Liberals in 1988, when they won 12 seats in Quebec. Its been always solid for them and |
 | 07 12 08 |
Mark 76.66.52.189 |
| With the Bloc vote beginning to collapse, it'll be a toss up between the Conservatives and the Liberals in this largely federalist riding. I would not be surprised to see the Conservatives come out on top with some votes from normal BQ voters strategically voting to prevent a liberal from being elected. |
 | 07 06 19 |
binriso 156.34.217.85 |
| One of a number of seats the Liberals lost thats going to come back to them from the BQ. Probably not a big win but a few % above the BQ while the CPC will come a closer 3rd. Of course the fact it borders Ontario will help the federalists too. |
 | 07 04 08 |
Brian Appel 70.48.240.240 |
| The only reason this riding went Bloc in '06 is due to a collapse in the Liberal vote. Now it's the Bloc that's collapsing, so I predict this race will be between the Conservatives and the Liberals with the Liberals coming out on top. |
 | 07 04 03 |
JC 207.188.65.7 |
| This is coming back to the liberals who only lost this due to sponsorship, let's not forget this is just across the pond from ottawa. |