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 | 08 02 10 |
A.S. 99.233.96.153 |
| It's too easy to add to the Greek chorus: under Maxime Bernier in Beauce, it's like the Mulroney 80s all over again. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if Bernier had won as Quebec's sole CPC representative even if Harper hadn't broken the Quebec ice with his Dec 19/05 campaign speech. |
 | 08 01 30 |
John Johnson 24.138.129.52 |
| This will be an easy hold for the Conservatives. Bernier is one of their top ministers and maybe could be Stephen Harper's replacement in a few years time. |
 | 07 10 01 |
binriso 156.34.212.190 |
| I believe Beauce is one only 3 non-Montreal ridings(with Hull-Aylmer and Pontiac) to not elect the BQ. Even Gilles Bernier running as an indpenedent won here despite massive federalist vote splitting during the BQ's best election in 1993. Small c conservative, which could help explain why it went from a Liberal solid win in 1965 to a Social Credit landslide in 1968 despite Trudeaumania(then weirdly back to Liberal in 1972 maybe it was something to do with the candidates both times). Still it seems dead set on the CPC now, with a very strong candidate Maxime Bernier who is popular through his name and his position within the party, being Foreign affairs minister will no doubt propel him to another landslide, maybe not as big as last time since there will no doubt be a number of seperatists that will always vote BQ and there might have been a few strategic votes by other parties towards the CPC to defeat the BQ. But still, this is a safe bet for the CPC for the forseeable future. |
 | 07 06 17 |
70.51.5.166 |
Impossible de ne pas prévoir la réélection de Maxime Bernier! En 2006, il a gagné avec près de 70% des voix et ce compté fut celui de son père du temps de Mulroney et il était très populaire. Sans compter que Bernier est un pilier des Conservateurs au Québec et que la Beauce a toujours été fédéraliste avec un p'tit côté conservateur. Victoire des Conservateurs en Beauce, mais avec une majorité moins grande! |
 | 07 06 06 |
binriso 156.34.212.113 |
| The only real safe seat for the conservatives in Quebec, and by safe i mean theres is no chance that it will fall next election under any circumstances. The other 9 could fall if the Conservatives plummet nationwide but Bernier will be left standing he had almost 70% last time. |
 | 07 04 07 |
Nick J Boragina 74.12.71.10 |
| a correction/addition to my earlier submission. This is not only the strongest tory riding in Quebec, it is the strongest one outside of alberta! with 67% of the vote this is the 16th strongest riding in the nation for the tories; the first 15 all being in Alberta. You have to go all the way down to #32 to get to another riding that's not in Western Canada, and that would be one of the Ontario ridings the Alliance won in the year 2000. There's an old joke in parts of Montreal about red mailboxes being able to get elected, in this part of Quebec, its the Blue mailboxes that need to keep one eye open. |
 | 07 04 03 |
P.P. 70.82.50.99 |
| If there were only one conservative left after the next election, i fell Maxime Bernier would be the one. |
 | 07 03 29 |
M. Lunn 74.99.130.109 |
| Even if Conservative numbers sour again in Quebec, I cannot see Maxime Bernier falling. This is naturally one of the more conservative parts of Quebec, but more importantly he is too big a household name to lose here. |
 | 07 03 29 |
Patrick L 24.122.122.187 |
| A sure conservative win here. With the recent ADQ wins all around the region and in Quebec, Beauce is 95% assured to stick with Bernier. Bloc has no chance to win here and the Liberals have a long way to go. |
 | 07 03 27 |
Nick J Boragina 74.99.228.118 |
| with the ADQ surge in Quebec, I think it's safe to say that the federal Conservatives will benifit from that, and at minimum hold on to this, their strongest riding in the province. |
 | 07 03 25 |
Angry Ontarian 24.36.172.204 |
| No matter what CPC Quebec popularity is, Industry Minister Maxime Bernier wins Beauce. The Tories won every poll in the riding last time. The Bernier name is popular here, and this is one of the rare Quebec 'blue' ridings. Being in Cabinet doesn't hurt either. |
 | 07 03 24 |
RF 74.120.155.163 |
If this seat doesn't go Conservative, I will be shocked. Maxime Bernier has his father's name behind him, and Beauce is a riding that is francophone, which means the Liberals are incredibly weak here, and it is a riding that is very much federalist. This equation means that the riding will go overwhelmingly Conservative. Maxime Bernier won with the highest Conservative plurality outside of Alberta, with 68% of the vote. He's a high profile Minister of Industry, and Harper's de facto Quebec Lieutenant, since Lawrence Cannon has done a disappointing job. Clearly is going to go Tory. |