Update:
3:10 AM 03/01/2006

Prediction Changed
12:42 AM 04/05/2005
Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Winnipeg North
Federal Election - 2006



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
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Green/Vert
David Carey
Libearl/libéral
Parmjeet Gill
Conservative/conservateur
Garreth McDonald
Communist
Darrell Rankin
Christian Heritage
Eric Truijen
NDP/NPD
Judy Wasylycia-Leis

Incumbent:
Judy Wasylycia-Leis

2004 Result:
Judy Wasylycia-Leis
12507
Rey D. Pagtakhan
9491
Kris Stevenson
3186
Alon Weinberg
531
Eric Truijen
141
Darrell Rankin
111

For historical result, please see
2004 Prediction page




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01 01 06 Aric H
I don't think the NDP has lost this riding since 1993 so until a time when the NDP collapses again it should remain NDP. Judy W-L is also a high-profile NDP MP because she is the Finance Critic. She was just all over the news again this past week during the Income Trust Scandal because the RCMP sent her a letter about its investigation and she commented on the situation on t.v.
21 12 05 EE
This is the riding of JS Woodsworth and Stanley Knowles... it has been an NDP/CCF/Labour riding almost continuously since the Winnipeg General Strike in 1919. AND Judy W-L has a strong local profile and is seen on national TV as from time to time as Finance Critic.
15 11 05 Bear and Ape
First, the most recent poll says the Liberals have lost 5% nationally while the NDP has gained 5% (and if math isn't your thing, that means the CPC is unchanged). So the numbers seem to imply that the Liberals are unlikely to gain at the expense of the NDP pretty much anywhere, let alone an NDP stronghold, but polls are transient...lets move on. Now lets look at the riding, one of the poorest in Canada and is akin to East Vancouver. As Jim put it, the NDP is the poor man's party. Now lets look at Judy W-L, she is very well known, very active, outspoken and visible member of parliament. She beat, by a reasonable margin, a Liberal incumbant cabinet minister, who supposedly had the ethnic vote, being an ethnic himself. Why in the world would that all change in a year and a half when the NDP have been looking responsible and the Liberals scandalous in that time? C'mon, the ethnics were arm twisted to vote NDP? Yeah I'm sure Judy and a bunch of goons grabbed every ethnic voter, dragged them to the polls, and forced them to vote NDP with a gun to their head! Please! As for your comment about the riding becoming "more Liberal and less communist", that choice of words is just plain offensive to left-leaning, rational, moderate voters of the riding who see the NDP as the best choice for them.
15 11 05 James
Yes the liberals are pulling out the bag of tricks for this riding. Word has it many of the immigrants that had their arm twisted to vote NDP last time, are looking at the liberal who is also of a ethnic background. Also, the north end is evolving, and becoming more liberal and less communist, so look for a potential liberal win here. Many of the Old CCF/NDP supporters are moving into homes outside the riding and young liberal thinking families are taking their place. The Metis have a strong presence in the north end and they will support the liberals after the provincial NDP backed down on metis rights.
08 09 05 jim
This area can't stop their love affair with the NDP. They simply know how to play to the people. Judy W-L will show up to your 18th birthday if you ask her. People in this area don't care about policy. In Winnipeg North, the person who is out and about more and giving the impression they actually do something wins. One of the countries poorest ridings. Poorer ridings always vote NDP because they are the poor mans party.
17 05 05 James
The NDP have this wrapped up. Judy W-L won easy last time and now the liberal scandal is out in the open she will win by even more.
07 05 05 Aric H
I assume that Judy W-L of the NDP is safe here because she won last year in one of those combined riding battles where two incumbent MP's had to fight it out and since she doesn't have to deal with that situation this year, she should win again.
05 05 05 MD
Cake walk for Judy WL. She cleaned up last time against Dr. Rey, and the Liberals will not have such a strong candidate next time around.
02 05 05 M. Lunn
Considering that Judy Wasylicia-Leis defeated cabinet minister Rey Pagtkhan who was Filipino in a riding with 20% of the population being Filipino, she will easily be re-elected. The Northside of Winnipeg except for areas like River East further North are generally working class areas that tend to vote NDP.



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